Marseille vs PSG

Marseille host PSG in this Coupe de France (French Cup) battle at Stade Vélodrome early Thursday morning. An entertaining and high-level match is on the cards here. However, my fans' and my goal is, of course, to make a long-term profit! We have done extremely well betting in Ligue 1 winning multiple picks in a row. Both Marseille and PSG play in this league and I see yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! There is no doubt about the fact that PSG are the better team of the two by pure class. However, I strongly believe that Marseille are the more motivated team here. This competition is not the main priority for either team. PSG have a tough match coming up on Saturday away from home against Monaco, currently in 4th place. More importantly, they have a very big game in the UEFA Champions League Tuesday against one of the best teams in the world, German Bayern Munich. Marseille, on the other hand, did not qualify for the Champions League playoffs. PSG as a club and many of their players have publicly talked about the fact that winning the Champions League is their main goal. This is totally understandable as PSG have won Ligue 1 many times during the past already. PSG will be without K. Mbappe, one of the best strikers in the world, and I believe this hurts their chances more than the betting market estimates. PSG's offense has clearly been affected by his absence in many games recently. Ramos and Neymar have recovered from their injuries but playing in this match is not 100% sure at the time of writing this preview Wednesday afternoon Beijing time. I do not expect Neymar "at least play for the full 90 minutes - and possible extra time. Moreover, he is most probably not at his best yet.. Messi can of course do his "magic" here as well but really needs fit and fully motivated Neymar and Mbappe to be as effective as possible.. Most football fans know that Neymar is not a player with the best motivation in every game.. He is an ”artist” on the pitch and is at his best in big games!

Let's not forget that Marseille are playing a very strong season and currently occupy the second place in the standings and I also see them as the second-best team in Ligue 1. Marseille have grabbed 46 points so far. They have netted the ball 43 times and allowed just 20 goals. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 45.09. PSG, unsurprisingly, top the standings with 54 points in the pocket and have a score difference of 54:17. However, in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they have been lucky as this number is 20.19. Indeed, in terms of defensive quality the teams are almost equal! Furthermore, PSG's xPTS is 48.03. Marseille have a loud and enthusiastic home crowd and I am sure that seeing their team beating the richest and best team in France would be very important for them! With the home advantage and the motivation factor and today's expected lineups I see this match as a coin toss – 50-50% match without an actual favorite. The betting market sees PSG as solid favorites here, offering them odds of around 2.15 to win during the 90 minutes of play. This means that betting on Marseille with a +0.5 goals handicap option is the wise choice.. Both teams have been in good form winning seven of their most recent 10 games. Marseille lost their most recent match to a dangerous team, Nice, 1-3 at home though and I believe this result affects the odds too much here.. They would have deserved a win as they created much more in expected goals (xG) 2.67-1.43. They had close to 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. PSG, on the other hand, beat Toulouse, currently in 12th place, 2-1 at home four days ago but were not impressive.Yes, they deserved the narrow win but the visitors had their chances and the match was more balanced than the odds of around 1.40 on PSG to win suggest.. It was easy to see that PSG were over-valued by the bookmakers once again in this match..

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法国杯马赛主场迎战巴黎圣日耳曼Vélodrome周四凌晨。一场娱乐和高水平的比赛将在这里上演。然而，我的粉丝和我的目标当然是长期盈利!我们在法甲的投注中做得非常好，连续赢得多个顺位。马赛和巴黎圣日耳曼都参加了这个联赛，我在这里看到了另一个非常有利可图的投注机会!毫无疑问，巴黎圣日耳曼是这两支球队中水平更高的球队。然而，我坚信马赛是一支更有动力的球队。这场比赛不是两队的首要任务。巴黎圣日耳曼周六将在客场迎战目前排名第四的摩纳哥，这将是一场艰难的比赛。更重要的是，他们在周二有一场非常重要的欧冠比赛，对手是世界上最好的球队之一，德国拜仁慕尼黑。马赛，另一方面，没有资格进入欧冠季后赛。作为一家俱乐部，巴黎圣日耳曼和他们的许多球员都公开表示，赢得欧冠冠军是他们的主要目标。这是完全可以理解的，因为巴黎圣日耳曼在过去已经多次赢得法甲冠军。巴黎圣日耳曼将失去世界上最好的前锋之一姆巴佩，我相信这对他们的机会的影响比博彩市场估计的要大。巴黎圣日耳曼的进攻显然受到了他最近很多场比赛缺席的影响。拉莫斯和内马尔已经从伤病中恢复过来，但在北京时间周三下午写这篇预告时，能否参加这场比赛还不能100%确定。我不指望内马尔至少打满90分钟——可能还有加时赛。此外，他很可能还没有达到最佳状态。梅西当然可以在这里施展他的“魔法”，但真正需要的是健康和充分激励的内马尔和姆巴佩尽可能有效地发挥作用。大多数球迷都知道内马尔并不是一个每场比赛都有最佳动力的球员。他是球场上的“艺术家”，在重大比赛中表现最佳!

我们不要忘记，马赛本赛季表现非常强劲，目前在积分榜上排名第二，我也认为他们是法甲第二好的球队。到目前为止，马赛已经拿到了46分。他们一共破门43次，只丢了20个球。他们的期望点数(xPTS)为45.09。不出所料，巴黎圣日耳曼以54分的优势排在积分榜首位，双方的比分差距为54:17。然而，就期望进球数(xGA)而言，他们是幸运的，因为这个数字是20.19。事实上，就防守质量而言，两队几乎不相上下!此外，PSG的xPTS为48.03。马赛的主场球迷非常热情，我相信看到他们的球队击败法国最富有和最好的球队对他们来说是非常重要的!有了主场优势和动力因素，以及今天的预期阵容，我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——50-50%的比赛，没有真正喜欢的一方。博彩市场认为巴黎圣日耳曼队是最受欢迎的球队，他们在90分钟的比赛中获胜的赔率约为2.15。这意味着赌马赛有+0.5个进球的障碍选项是明智的选择。两支球队在最近的10场比赛中都取得了7场胜利。马赛最近在主场1-3输给了一支危险的球队尼斯，我相信这个结果对胜率的影响太大了。他们本应获得一场胜利，因为他们创造了更多的预期进球(xG) 2.67-1.43。他们拥有近60%的控球率，记录了更多的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、攻击次数和危险攻击。另一方面，PSG四天前在主场2-1击败了目前排名第12位的图卢兹，但表现并不令人印象深刻。是的，他们应该获得险胜，但客队有机会，比赛比PSG 1.40左右的胜率更平衡。很容易看出巴黎圣日耳曼在这场比赛中又一次被彩票公司高估了。