💥🎯 11/9 in my last Serie A bets 🔥💥
2023-02-06

Przem

外籍分析师

意甲

02/07 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Verona have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Verona have solid record against Lazio as they didn't lost in 9 of last 14 Serie A matches against them. In previous season Verona won 4:1 at home against Lazio.

Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Verona is in relegation zone so for sure they will give absolutely everything to avoid loss in this game. They are looking really good in 2023 as they made 8 points in 5 matches and lost only against Inter on away (0:1, 0:66 expected goals conceded).

This year Verona played two matches at home and recorded two convincing wins - 2:0 against Cremonese and 2:0 against Lecce. Team is full of confidence and wants to go with momentum front of home crowd. On the other hand Lazio results on the road looks good only on the paper. They won 5 of 9 away matches, but they really shouldn't. Lazio scored 15 goals in away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.55. They conceded 6 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 10.66. It's big difference.

Verona also have freshness on their side as they played last match exactly 7 days ago. Lazio played 4 days ago against Juventus in Coppa Italia on away and lost 0:1.

On those circumstances double chance on Verona looks like valuable option to play.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来维罗纳很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

维罗纳在对阵拉齐奥的比赛中战绩稳定,他们在过去14场意甲比赛中有9场没有输球。上个赛季维罗纳在主场4:1战胜拉齐奥。

两支球队都没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮一模一样。

维罗纳在降级区,所以他们肯定会尽一切努力避免在这场比赛中输球。他们在2023年看起来真的很不错,他们在5场比赛中得到8分,只在客场输给了国米(0:1,0:66预期失球)。

今年维罗纳在主场打了两场比赛,并取得了两场令人信服的胜利——2:0克雷莫内斯和2:0莱切。球队充满信心,希望在主场观众面前气势汹汹。另一方面,拉齐奥在客场的成绩只在纸面上看起来不错。他们赢了9场客场比赛中的5场,但他们真的不应该赢。拉齐奥在客场比赛中进了15球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该进11.55球。他们丢了6球,但根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢10.66球。差别很大。

维罗纳也有新鲜感,因为他们在7天前踢了上一场比赛。拉齐奥4天前在意大利杯客场对阵尤文图斯,0:1告负。

在这种情况下,对维罗纳的双重机会看起来是一个很有价值的选择。

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