GREAT results in Ligue 2! $$$ 法乙 瓦朗谢纳vs拉瓦勒
2023-02-03

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

02/04 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Valenciennes VS Stade Lavallois (Laval)


Valenciennes host Laval for this French Ligue 2 round 22 battle at Stade du Hainaut early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, often pretty smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits make a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league and this is the case here as well! The bookmakers see Valenciennes as the favorites here and offer odds of around 2.55 on them to take all three points. I cannot agree with the bookies at all! Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Laval should be narrow favorites. However, with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap a draw would be enough and we have a very good chance of extending the hot streak - 11/12 latest picks won – here! Laval have a substantial edge in terms of offensive quality here. Indeed, the hosts have netted the ball only 18 times! This is the same number as Niort, the worst team in this league, have scored! Valenciennes have allowed less goals than Laval – 23 and 31. However, I see the teams as equal in this area of the game at the moment. In terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they should have conceded 27.88 goals. Laval's xGA is 27.93. They can improve a lot in this area of the game and they have, in fact, allowed just one goal in their most recent three games!

By raw class there is very little between the two teams but we have to give enough emphasis to the fact that Valenciennes have been extremely bad for over a month already! Their recent results have been weak as well and they have not won any of their latest seven games! They have lost four of these seven games. Valenciennes' defense has lacked structure and the defenders have also made too many stupid individual mistakes.. The midfielders should be more active in defending if the hosts want to start winning games. They have allowed a whopping 12 goals in their latest five matches and are clearly low in confidence at the moment. If they do not improve they are not safe even from relegation! Currently they occupy the 15th place with 26 points to their account. The teams that finish 17-20th are relegated to National for the 2023-2024 season. Laval, on the other hand, were promoted to this league for this season and, rather unsurprisingly, have had a somewhat erratic season.. I have, however, raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class quite a lot after the previous three rounds. Yes, they had a bad streak in December losing four matches in a row but absences did play a role in these defeats and perhaps the bookies give these losses too much emphasis.. They have picked up fine form lately winning two of their latest three matches and have looked good on the pitch. Their team spirit also seems to be pretty good now.. Three days ago they beat Dijon 1-0 at home after recording many more goal attempts - 18-9 - as well as shots on goal – 7-2 to be precise.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

最大的,通常非常聪明的博彩公司与最大的投注限制犯了很多错误,他们的赔率在这个联赛中,这也是情况!博彩公司认为瓦伦舍纳是最受欢迎的,并为他们提供了2.55左右的赔率,以获得全部三分。我完全不同意博彩公司的说法!根据我复杂深入的分析,拉瓦尔应该是最受欢迎的。然而,有了推荐的+0.5个进球的障碍,一个平局就足够了,我们有一个很好的机会来延续连胜——11/12最新的选择——在这里!拉瓦尔在进攻质量方面有很大的优势。事实上,东道主只进了18次球!这和联盟中最差的球队纽特的进球数一样!瓦朗谢纳的失球比拉瓦尔少,分别是23和31个。然而,我认为两支球队在这方面是平等的。在预期失球(xGA)方面,他们应该丢了27.88个球。拉瓦尔的xGA是27.93。他们在这方面有很大的进步,事实上,他们在最近的三场比赛中只丢了一个球!

从原始级别来看,两队之间的差距非常小,但我们必须足够强调的是,瓦朗谢纳已经有一个多月的时间表现非常糟糕了!他们最近的成绩也很弱,最近的七场比赛一场也没赢!他们在这七场比赛中输了四场。瓦伦西安的防守缺乏结构,后卫也犯了太多愚蠢的个人错误。如果东道主想要赢得比赛,中场球员应该更加积极地防守。他们在最近的五场比赛中丢了12个球,目前显然信心不足。如果他们没有进步,他们甚至不会保级!目前,他们以26分排名第15位。在2023-2024赛季中,排名17-20的球队将降级为国家队。另一方面,拉瓦尔本赛季被提升到这个联赛,这并不令人惊讶,他有一个有点不稳定的赛季。然而,在前三轮之后,我提高了他们的实力等级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。是的,他们在12月遭遇了一场糟糕的连败,但缺阵确实在这些失利中发挥了作用,也许博彩公司过于强调了这些失利。他们最近恢复了良好的状态,在最近的三场比赛中赢了两场,在球场上看起来很不错。他们的团队精神现在看起来也很好。三天前,他们在主场1-0击败了第戎,并记录了更多的进球尝试- 18-9 -以及射门-准确地说- 7-2。

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