Who is favorite here?
2023-02-03

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

02/04 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Too high mine for me here.

Athletic is probably in the worst moment of the season. They are coming from 5 winless games in La Liga (three consecutive defeats) and lacking confidence. Some of these games were against strong teams (Real Sociedad, Real Madrid) but also others like Osasuna.

The team is playing well, but the main difference with the beginning of the season (where they started very strong) is upfront. In the first games their strikers and offensive players were clearly overperforming, scoring goals and converting chances that usually they miss. Athletic has weak strikers (indeed they don’t have a reliable goal scorer) and goals use to come from wingers or midfielders. In the last 5 league games they have scored just one goal.

For rivals it is easy to defend against them: just need to avoid leaving spaces in defense and hold the first minutes of every half, because Athletic always starts very strong the first minutes.

On the other hand, Cadiz is improving a lot. Although they have a weak squad, the team gained a lot of confidence thanks to their recent results and performances. Since September, in the last 14 games, have lost only three games:

1:0 vs Sevilla (conceding goal from penalty at 90’)

2:1 vs Real Madrid

5:1 vs Rayo Vallecano in a crazy match with two red cards

Clearly the team is much more competitive, difficult to beat and in good form.

Cadiz is a defensive team who will park the bus here. A draw wont be a bad deal for them but surely they will also have chances at counters, as they did in Mestalla against Valencia where won 0:1 in a match which I believe was very similar to this one: hosts favorites and attacking but without spaces, guests defending and having chances at counters.

Athletic will start strong as always, but I see Cadiz like this kind of team who can make a good performance here. They have the ability to close spaces at the back, park the bus with a solid defense and create chances at counters. Athletic is lacking confidence upfront and can’t see an easy game for them. They could win because they have more quality, but I’m sure that Cadiz will make a decent performance here, avoiding a defeat by more than one goal.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我在这里对我来说太高了。

竞技可能是本赛季最糟糕的时刻。 他们来自西甲5场不胜(三连败)并且缺乏信心。 其中一些比赛是对阵强队(皇家社会、皇家马德里),但也有一些是对阵奥萨苏纳这样的球队。

球队打得很好,但与赛季初(他们开局非常强劲)的主要区别在于前期。 在第一场比赛中,他们的前锋和进攻球员显然表现出色,进球和转化机会都是他们通常会错过的。 Athletic 的前锋实力较弱(实际上他们没有可靠的射手),而且进球通常来自边锋或中场。 在过去的5场联赛中,他们只进了一个球。

对于对手来说,防守他们很容易:只需要避免在防守中留下空间,并在每半场的前几分钟保持住,因为毕尔巴鄂竞技在前几分钟的开局总是非常强劲。

另一方面,加的斯进步很大。 尽管他们的阵容较弱,但由于最近的成绩和表现,球队获得了很大的信心。 自 9 月以来,在过去的 14 场比赛中,只输了三场:

1:0 vs 塞维利亚(90'点球失球)

2:1 对阵 皇家马德里

5:1 VS Rayo Vallecano 两张红牌的疯狂比赛

很明显,这支球队更具竞争力,难以击败并且状态良好。

加的斯是防守型球队,会把大巴停在这里。 平局对他们来说不是坏事,但他们肯定也有反击的机会,就像他们在梅斯塔利亚对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中所做的那样,在一场我认为与这场比赛非常相似的比赛中以 0:1 获胜:东道主的最爱和进攻但没有 空间,客人捍卫并有机会在柜台。

Athletic 会一如既往地开局强劲,但我认为 Cadiz 喜欢这种可以在这里取得出色表现的球队。 他们有能力在后场缩小空间,用稳固的防守停放大巴,并在反击中创造机会。 Athletic 缺乏自信,他们看不到一场轻松的比赛。 他们可以赢,因为他们有更多的实力,但我相信加的斯队会在这里有不错的表现,避免以不止一个进球失利。

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