I know there will be divided opinions over this as there are several key changes in the both starting lineups, and it is a well-known fact that even if Barcelona have been superb and defensively more solid than ever it is also partly a statistical lie. They are not quite that good as the results show.

But first, a look at expected lineups. The only important absentee today is Dembele, but there are also returning star players Nabil Fekir and Lewandowski!

The teams have not met this season yet, but in the Supercopa in Saudi Arabia Betis managed to hold on to a 2-2 draw only to lose after penalties. The goals were scored by - yes, you guessed it - Fekir and Lewandowski on normal time.

Lewandowski has been suspended for league games, Barcelona have won them all, but only narrowly and there has been some problems over creating and finishing chances.

Looking at the match results and performance data after the break we notice that Barcelona goal expectation has dropped in the games without Lewandowski - he played v Espanyol - and they also concede chances in every game and have needed the miraculous saves from keeper Ter Stegen.

But in the big picture there is not much wrong with Barcelona. Losing Dembele is a blow, but with Ferran Torres or Raphinha there is another speed machine guaranteed for the right flank, and the left one is especially well covered by Gavi, Pedri, Fati, De Jong and company.

Is Betis strong enough to challenge? They are resultwise close to their best ever halfway of the season under Pellegrini so they must do something right.

They have 31 points 18 games, the goal difference is +6 goals and the defense does not leak goles.

It is also partly a fake, and not scoring themselves is a big worry. The xG-data suggests that they have been lucky several times especially defensively, they should had conceded 8 goals more, and have 6 or points less and be somewhere lower in the table. Actually teams like Mallorca and Girona have better performance data than Betis do, so perhaps we seem to drop in the table in the Spring half.

Recently:

Now this is not very impressive, is it? The only good team they have faced is Bilbao. and earlier they have been outplayed by both Real and Atletico Madrid. Could it be that the class just is not quite there?

Barcelona are in such good form and boosted by return of Robert Lewandowski and I seem them worth a -1.5 asian handicap even away tonight in Sevilla. Good Luck!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我知道大家对此会有不同的看法，因为双方的首发阵容都发生了一些关键的变化，众所周知，即使巴塞罗那表现得非常出色，防守也比以往任何时候都更加稳固，这在一定程度上也是一个数据上的谎言。他们并不像结果显示的那么好。

但首先，我们来看看预期的阵容。今天唯一缺席的重要球员是登贝莱，但也有回归的明星球员纳比尔·费基尔和莱万多夫斯基!

这两支球队本赛季还没有交手，但在沙特阿拉伯的超级杯中，贝蒂斯队设法保持了2-2的平局，但在点球后输球。这两粒进球是由费基尔和莱万多夫斯基在正常时间打进的。

莱万多夫斯基已经停赛，巴萨已经赢得了所有的联赛，但只是险胜，在创造和完成机会方面存在一些问题。

看看比赛结果和中场休息后的表现数据，我们注意到，在莱万多夫斯基缺席的比赛中，巴萨的进球期望有所下降——他在对阵西班牙人的比赛中——他们每场比赛都有失球机会，他们需要门将特尔施特根的奇迹般的扑救。

但从大局来看，巴塞罗那并没有什么问题。失去登贝莱是一个打击，但有托雷斯或拉芬哈，右边路就有了另一个速度机器，而左边路有加维、佩德里、法蒂、德容等人的掩护。

贝蒂斯足够强大吗?他们已经接近佩莱格里尼治下的最佳半程表现，所以他们必须做些正确的事情。

他们18场比赛积31分，净胜球+6球，防守没有漏球。

这在一定程度上也是假的，不给自己打分是个大问题。xg的数据表明，他们有几次是幸运的，尤其是在防守端，他们应该多丢8球，少得6分，在积分榜上排名靠后。实际上，像马洛卡和赫罗纳这样的球队比贝蒂斯的表现更好，所以我们在春季半赛季的排名可能会下降。

最近:

现在这不是很令人印象深刻，是吗?他们所面对的唯一一支强队是毕尔巴鄂。早些时候，他们曾被皇马和马德里竞技击败。会不会是因为上课时间不够?

巴塞罗那的状态如此之好，莱万多夫斯基的回归也让他们有了很大的提升，即使今晚客场对阵塞维利亚，我也觉得他们的亚洲障碍值是-1.5。好运！