If Betis is able to stop Barcelona?
2023-02-01

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

02/02 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Betis have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams played each other in January in Super Cup on neutral ground. Barcelona won after penalty kicks. After 90 minutes there was draw 1:1. Betis looked good in that game, they finished match with 3 shots more than Barcelona.

Betis at home is really hard nut to crack. In current season they didn't lost in 7 of 8 home league matches and conceded only 5 goals in the process. They coming for this game full of confidence - in last round they won 1:0 on away against Getafe and that was very clean performance: expected goals scored for Betis 1.75, for Getafe only 0.27.

Barcelona won last 3 matches in a row in all competitions with exactly the same scoreline - 1:0, but if You look deeper on their performances - they not looking convincing at all. Barcelona won 1:0 at home against Getafe, but they played poor: expected goals scored for Barcelona 0.73, for Getafe 1.08. They won 1:0 at home in Cup against Sociedad, but Sociedad received red card in first half (despite that, Sociedad created 3 big chances to score in that game). In last round Barcelona won 1:0 on away against Girona, but that was very close match: expected goals scored for Barcelona 1.10, for Girona 1.06. In addition to that, Barcelona today will play without their best assistant and second-best scorer Dembele. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

On those circumstances I see really good value on home side here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,贝蒂斯很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

今年1月,两队在中立场地举行的超级杯比赛中交手。巴塞罗那在点球大战中获胜。90分钟后1:1打平。贝蒂斯在那场比赛中表现不错,他们比巴萨多射了3次。

贝蒂斯在家里可真难对付。在本赛季,他们在8场主场比赛中有7场没有输球,在这个过程中只丢了5球。他们对这场比赛充满信心——上一轮他们在客场1:0战胜赫塔菲,表现非常干净:贝蒂斯的预期进球数为1.75,赫塔菲的预期进球数仅为0.27。

巴萨在所有赛事中以1:0的比分连续赢下了三场比赛,但如果你深入观察他们的表现,你会发现他们看起来一点都不令人信服。巴塞罗那在主场1:0战胜赫塔菲,但他们的表现很差:巴塞罗那的预期进球数为0.73,赫塔菲为1.08。他们在杯赛主场1:0战胜Sociedad,但Sociedad在上半场吃到红牌(尽管如此,Sociedad在那场比赛中创造了3次进球机会)。在上一轮巴萨客场1:0战胜赫罗纳,但那是一场非常接近的比赛:巴塞罗那的预期进球数为1.10,赫罗纳为1.06。除此之外,巴塞罗那今天将没有他们最好的助理和第二射手登贝莱。这是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下,我认为在主场投资真的很有价值。


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