In my opinion Paris is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2/3 goals margin. -1.5 AH looks like very safe bet to play.

Paris have huge mental advantage as they won last 7 league matches in a row against Montpellier with at least two goals difference, so why not today?

Paris don't have any problems with goalscoring against Montpellier - in last 10 league matches against them they scored 37 goals. I believe guests have all required tools to score at least 3 goals also today.

Paris failed to win in last two league matches and now they have only 3 points more than 2nd Lens. I expect huge reaction from them today. Guests coach Christophe Galtier have superb record against Montpellier in his managerial career as he won 15 of 24 matches against them. Also Paris superstar Kylian Mbappe loves to play against Montpellier - he scored 10 goals and 5 assists in 11 Ligue1 matches against them.

Montpellier in current season conceded 40 goals in 20 league matches so I really can't imagine less than two goals conceded for them against Paris trio Neymar/Messi/Mbappe.

On the other Montpellier scored 30 goals in 20 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 23.3. In addition to that, today they will play without best scorer Wahi (7 goals). Only one team in whole league conceded less goals than Paris. I can imagine clean sheet for guests today.

On those circumstances -1.5 line looks simply too low. PSG have all required tools to cover this line.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，巴黎在今天的比赛中是最受欢迎的，他们应该能够以至少2/3的进球优势轻松取胜。-1.5 AH看起来是非常安全的赌注。

巴黎有巨大的心理优势，他们在过去7场联赛中连续赢了蒙彼利埃，至少有两球的差距，所以为什么今天不呢?

巴黎在对阵蒙彼利埃的比赛中没有任何进球问题——在最近10场联赛对阵蒙彼利埃的比赛中，他们打进37球。我相信客人们今天也有至少3个进球的必要工具。

巴黎在最近的两场联赛中都没能赢球，现在他们只比第二朗斯多3分。我预计他们今天会有很大的反应。客队主帅克里斯托夫·加尔蒂埃在他的执教生涯中对蒙彼利埃有出色的战绩，他在24场比赛中赢了15场。巴黎巨星姆巴佩也喜欢对阵蒙彼利埃，他在对阵蒙彼利埃的11场法甲比赛中打进10球并送出5次助攻。

蒙彼利埃本赛季在20场联赛中丢了40球，所以我真的无法想象他们在对阵巴黎三人组内马尔/梅西/姆巴佩的比赛中只丢了2球。

另一方面，蒙彼利埃在20场比赛中进了30个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进了23.3个球。除此之外，今天他们将没有最佳射手瓦希(7球)。在整个联赛中，只有一支球队的失球比巴黎少。我能想象到今天客人的床单是干净的。

在这种情况下-1.5线看起来太低了。PSG拥有覆盖这条线所需的所有工具。