Great results in this league!
2023-02-01

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

02/01 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Annecy VS Caen


Annecy and Caen lock horns in this French Ligue 2 round 21 clash at Parc des Sports early Wednesday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have achieved super-good results betting on French Ligue 1 and Ligue 2 and this match is yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! The biggest, often somewhat sharp bookies that offer the largest betting limits see the visitors as favorites offering them odds of around 2.20 to take all three points – at least at the time of writing this preview late Tuesday evening Beijing time. I do believe that the odds on Annecy to go down before the kickoff though as smart money is expected to pile up on them. I definitely cannot agree with the bookie's view on this clash.. Based on my extremely sophisticated in-depth analysis there is no favorite in this game! The draw, with a probability of 34% would be enough for my fans and me to win yet another Ligue 2 bet with the recommended handicap (+0.5 goals). The chance of winning is high - 67%. I see this match as more-low scoring than the betting market does – neither team have convinced me too much offensively this season and Caen often play pretty defensive football on the road. The probability of under 2.5 total goals being scored is 70%.

Annecy have grabbed 25 points so far and occupy the 13h place in the standings. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 28.12 points and would earn more respect on the betting market! They are in 12th place in my power rating which reflects the teams' pure class. Caen, on the other hand, are in the 9th place in this ranking and do have a small edge in pure class. They are currently in the 8th place in the league table. However, most teams in Ligue have a substantial home advantage and this is the case here as well! Annecy were promoted from National (3rd tier) for this season and do not have any big stars in the squad. Even so, they play well as a team, have a very good coach. Furthermore, according to my sources, I have a great team spirit! I want to highlight that Caen have won just one of their last eight games! This win they achieved on the 20th of this month away from home over Sochaux. The final score was 1-2 after a balanced clash that could have gone either way.. Annecy have not lost any of their most recent seven games and seem to be very high in confidence! In their most recent match they faced Pau away from home but were not at their best.. They had some luck on their side and took a point through a 2-2 draw showing great fighting spirit.  Before this they beat ASM Belform away from home in a cup game and defeated a pretty dangerous team, Paris FC, 2-0 at home in Ligue 2. On the 10th of this month they took a point away from home against Valenciennes. This was one of their best performances this season offensively and I believe they can improve in this area of the game! 2-2 was the final score after a somewhat balanced game. Annecy had 51% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts – 15-10. Both teams created five shots on target.

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