An interesting match in Greece! 希腊超塞萨洛VS莱瓦贾科斯
2023-01-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

希腊超

01/31 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

PAOK Saloniki VS Levadiakos

PAOK welcome Levadiakos for this Greek Super League round 20 clash at Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki . This league is of mediocre level by European standards. The differences between the top teams and the weak teams is massive – bigger than in many other European leagues. This is indeed the case here as well. PAOK are superior in all areas of the game! The biggest edge in the hosts favor is in offensive quality. Indeed, they have netted the ball 29 times so far in this league. Levadiakos, on the other hand, are a very limited team in terms of offensive quality. They have scored just 10 goals – this is the second-lowest number in the Super League. Only Lamia, a very poor team, have scored less goals. The visitors' offense lacks basically everything needed to score goals: creativity, pace, structure and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal. They were promoted to this league for this season and it is no surprise that they have struggled overall. The difference between the first tier and second tier is massive. They are currently in 12th place in this league with a total of 14 clubs. In my power rating that reflects the teams pure class Levadiakos are in the 13th place. Their defense is not totally useless though and they have allowed 22 goals so far. However, in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) they should have conceded 26.33 goals. They fight hard but most of their defenders are still not skilled enough for this level.

According to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, PAOK's players have a total market value of over 54 million euros! In my view this is slightly too low.. I would set the number at around 57-58 million.. I would not be surprised to see them fighting for a top-3 place. At the moment they are in the 4th place with 39 points which is slightly less than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). In their most recent match they faced Panathinaikos, a very strong team, away from home in a Greek Cup game and took a draw. Before this they faced the same team and beat the hosts 3-0 after an amazingly good performance! Panathinaikos only recorded just one shot on goal! The visitors' players have a total market value of just 11.75 million. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a relatively good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one.. The sharp bookmakers, football journalists/analysts and particularly professional football bettors pay increasingly more attention to teams' total market values these days.. However, if two players are equally capable and one of them is 25 years old and the other one is 35, the younger one is, of course, much more valuable.. For example, World Champion Leo Messi or Barcelona's Polish super star Robert Lewandowski do not have even close to the biggest current market value despite being top-8 players on the planet! Furthermore, for example super-promising Englishman Jude Bellingham, just 19 years old, has a significantly higher market value than the legendary super stars Messi or Lewadowski at the moment.. Let's also remember that the visitors have been very lame on the road this season failing to win a game in this league and losing most games! PAOK have amazingly loud fans and have a a 68% chance to win by at least two goals' margin!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

萨洛尼卡VS列瓦迪亚科斯

PAOK欢迎列瓦迪亚科斯队参加希腊超级联赛第20轮在塞萨洛尼基图巴球场的比赛。以欧洲标准来看,这个联赛水平一般。顶级球队和弱队之间的差距是巨大的,比许多其他欧洲联赛都要大。这里的情况也确实如此。PAOK在游戏的所有领域都很优秀!东道主最大的优势在于进攻质量。事实上,到目前为止,他们在这个联赛中已经进球29次。另一方面,列瓦迪亚科斯在进攻质量上是一支非常有限的球队。他们只进了10个球——这是中超联赛中第二低的数字。只有拉米亚,一支非常糟糕的球队,进球数比他们少。客队的进攻基本上缺乏进球所需的一切:创造力、速度、结构和在对手球门附近传球的准确性。他们本赛季升入了这个联赛,他们整体表现不佳也就不足为奇了。第一梯队和第二梯队之间的差别是巨大的。他们目前在联赛中排名第12位,共有14支俱乐部。在我的实力评级中,这反映了球队的纯级别列瓦迪亚科斯在第13位。他们的防守也不是完全没用,到目前为止他们已经失球22个。然而,就预期失球(xGA)而言,他们应该丢26.33球。他们打得很努力,但他们的大多数后卫仍然不够熟练。

根据一家非常著名和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com, PAOK球员的总市值超过5400万欧元!在我看来,这有点太低了。我认为这个数字在5700万到5800万之间。看到他们争夺前三,我不会感到惊讶。目前,他们以39分排名第四,这比他们应得的预期积分(xPTS)略低。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在希腊杯客场对阵帕纳辛奈科斯,这是一支非常强大的球队,并取得了平局。在此之前,他们面对同一支球队,在惊人的出色表现后以3-0击败了东道主!帕纳辛奈科斯只记录了一次射门!客队球员的总市值只有1175万英镑。当然,总市值有时会被误导,但它仍然是一个相对较好的衡量球队在球场上实际表现水平的指标。足球(球员)市场毕竟是全球性的。如今,精明的博彩公司、足球记者/分析师,尤其是职业足球投注者越来越关注球队的总市场价值。然而,如果两个球员能力相当,其中一个25岁,另一个35岁,那么年轻的球员当然更有价值。例如,世界冠军里奥·梅西或巴塞罗那的波兰超级球星罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基,尽管是地球上排名前8的球员,但他们甚至没有接近最大的当前市场价值!此外,例如超级有前途的英国人裘德·贝灵汉,年仅19岁,目前的市场价值就比传奇巨星梅西或利瓦多斯基高得多。让我们也记住,客队本赛季在客场表现非常糟糕,在这个联赛中没有赢过一场比赛,而且输掉了大部分比赛!PAOK拥有惊人的球迷,并且有68%的机会以至少两球的优势获胜!

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