AEK Athens VS Aris Thessaloniki

AEK Athens welcome Aris for this Greek Super League round 20 clash at Agia Sophia Stadium early Monday morning Beijing time. There is no doubt about the fact that AEK Athens are clear favorites here. They are the better team by pure class and do have an edge in all areas of the game. The biggest difference between the teams in the hosts' favor is in offensive quality. Indeed, AEK Athens have netted the ball 38 times in this league so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is just 34.23. Aris have scored 28 times so far. Aris, however, do have a pretty solid defense and in this area of the game the hosts do not have a very clear edge. I believe they will be pretty defensive, perhaps even cautious here against a very strong opponent. They would probably be happy with a draw. Mainly because of the visitors' capable defense and the probable tactic in this game I see the clash being a more low-scoring than the bookmakers do. The chance of under 2.5 total goals being scored is 65%. This suits the recommended bet - +1.5 goals handicap on the visitors – very well. All my fans and I need to win is for Aris to avoid losing by more than one goals' difference. The chance for this is 69%. The chance of this winning is 60% - so based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis AEK Athens are clearly smaller favorites than the biggest, often pretty smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits believe. Let's not forget that Aris have not lost any of their latest 17 games by more than one goal's margin! 

The hosts currently occupy the second place in the standings with 44 points to their account. Aris are having a strong season as well once again! They are in the 5th place with 31 points and the bookies really should respect them much more. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 34.53. Let's also remember that season they finished better than the hosts! Indeed, Aris ended up in the 3rd place with 62 points and the host finished in 5th place with 56 points after the Championship Group. AEK Athens have been in fine form lately – especially results-wise but on the pitch they have not been quite as convincing as the results reflect. And have had some luck on their side to lose just one of their most recent 10 matches. In their most recent game they comfortably beat Panserraikos away from home in a Greek Cup battle. The final score was 1-3 for the heavy favorites, priced around 1.40-1.45 to win during 90 minutes of play. Before this they were, however, disappointing away from home against Ionikos, the rock-bottom team in this league with only eight points! It was only a narrow 2-1 win as gigantic favorites. Aris lost to a strong team, Olympiacos, in their most recent match (Greek Cup) 0-1 but were the slightly better team after having 52% ball possession and recording more scoring chances, shots on target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they crushed Volos 3-0 at home after a fine performance!

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AEK雅典VS Aris塞萨洛尼基

北京时间周一凌晨，雅典AEK队在阿基亚索菲亚体育场欢迎阿里斯参加这场希腊超级联赛第20轮的比赛。毫无疑问，雅典AEK在这里是最受欢迎的。他们是纯职业上更好的球队，在比赛的所有领域都有优势。两队之间最大的差异是在进攻质量上对东道主有利。事实上，到目前为止，AEK雅典队已经在联赛中进球38次。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)只有34.23个。到目前为止，阿里斯已经打进28球。然而，阿里斯确实有一个相当坚固的防守，在这方面，东道主并没有非常明显的优势。我相信他们会很有防守意识，在这里面对一个非常强大的对手，甚至会很谨慎。他们可能会对平局感到满意。主要是因为客队有能力的防守和在这场比赛中可能的战术，我认为这场比赛的比分比博彩公司认为的要低。总进球数低于2.5球的几率为65%。这很符合推荐的赌注——客队进1.5球的不利条件——非常好。我所有的球迷和我都希望阿里斯能够避免超过一球的差距。这个概率是69%。这次获胜的几率是60%，所以根据我复杂的深入分析，AEK Athens显然比那些最大的、通常非常聪明、投注上限最大的博彩公司更受欢迎。我们不要忘了，阿里斯在最近的17场比赛中没有输过任何一场，他们的差距超过了一个球!

东道主目前以44分位居积分榜第二。阿里斯又一次打出了一个强劲的赛季!他们以31分排名第五，博彩公司真的应该更加尊重他们。他们的期望点数(xPTS)是34.53。让我们也记住那个赛季他们比东道主表现得更好!事实上，阿里斯以62分排名第三，东道主以56分排名第五，排在冠军小组之后。雅典AEK最近状态很好，尤其是在比赛结果方面，但在球场上，他们并不像比赛结果所反映的那样令人信服。他们运气不错，在最近的10场比赛中只输了一场。在最近的一场希腊杯比赛中，他们在主场轻松击败了Panserraikos。最后的比分是1-3，在90分钟的比赛中，获胜的价格在1.40-1.45左右。然而，在此之前，他们在客场对阵爱奥尼科斯的比赛中表现得令人失望，这支球队在联赛中垫底，只有8分!双方以2比1险胜。阿里斯在最近的一场比赛(希腊杯)中以0-1输给了一支强队奥林匹亚科斯，但他们拥有52%的控球率，记录了更多的得分机会，射正，进攻和危险进攻，他们的表现略好。在此之前，他们在主场3-0大胜沃罗斯，表现出色!