Last 3 Bundesliga picks - 100%!
2023-01-29

Ricards

外籍分析师

德甲

01/30 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Only 2 Bundesliga games are going to happen on Sunday night but one of them is going to be very interesting as Leverkusen Bayer 04 will host Dortmund Borussia. After 17 games played, Leverkusen has 7 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, a total of 24 points and the 8th place while Borussia has 10 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses, a total of 31 points and 5th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Borussia won't lose.

Since the change of manager, Bayer has played very well. The team has won 5 games in a row and 2 wins have been after the break. At home, Leverkusen has 4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, a total of 14 points and the 9th place in the standings. Bayer is expected to score 1.83 goals at home (7th best) and to concede 1.14 goals (3rd best). Borussia is having a solid season. The Dortmund team has won the last 2 games and has been a solid road team with 4 wins and 5 losses, a total of 12 points and the 8th place. Away from home, Borussia is expected to score 1.88 goals (3rd best) and concede 1.83.

Although losses have been a lot and xGA on the road could be better, the team has played against very solid teams. On the road, Borussia has lost to RB Leipzig (3rd best), Koln (10th best), Union Berlin (2nd best), Wolfsburg (7th best) and Gladbach (9th best). In this game, Dortmund had an xG of 3.13 while opponents had 2.08 and they had way better xG against Koln as well. Out of the 4 wins at home, Leverkusen has beaten only Union which is higher than 15th place.

Leverkusen is likely to remain without Charles Aranguiz and Patrik Schick due to calf and groin injuries. Dortmund is going to be without Thomas Meunier and Marco Reus. Jude Bellingham missed his side's trip to Mainz in midweek through suspension after receiving his 5th booking of the season against Augsburg, and he will almost certainly return to the lineup.

In 28 head-to-head encounters between the two sides, Borussia has won 15 games, lost 7 and drawn 6. Both teams have played very well and this should be a high-scoring game. In the end, there's no clear favorite in this game but I'm confident that Dortmund won't lose.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日晚上只有两场德甲比赛,但其中一场非常有趣,勒沃库森拜耳04将主场迎战多特蒙德。17场比赛结束后,勒沃库森取得7胜3平7负,积24分,排名第8,而波罗西亚取得10胜1平6负,积31分,排名第5。在这场比赛中,我预测波罗西亚不会输。

自从换了主教练之后,拜耳踢得非常好。球队已经连续赢了5场比赛,其中2场胜利是在休息之后。在主场,勒沃库森4胜2平3负,积14分,排名积分榜第9。拜耳预计主场进球数为1.83球(排名第七),失球数为1.14球(排名第三)。波罗西亚本赛季表现稳定。多特蒙德队最近2场比赛取得了胜利,4胜5负是一支稳固的客场球队,共积12分,排名第8。在客场,波罗西亚预计进1.88球(排名第三),丢1.83球。

虽然输了很多,xGA在客场的表现可以更好,但这支队伍已经对阵了非常稳定的球队。在客场,拜仁先后输给了莱比锡(排名第三)、科隆(排名第十)、柏林联盟(排名第二)、沃尔夫斯堡(排名第七)和格拉德巴赫(排名第九)。在这场比赛中,多特蒙德的xG为3.13,而对手的xG为2.08,他们对科隆的xG也更好。在4场主场胜利中,勒沃库森只击败了排名第15位以上的联合。

由于小腿和腹股沟受伤,勒沃库森很可能没有阿兰圭兹和希克。多特蒙德将失去托马斯·莫尼耶和马可·罗伊斯。贝灵汉在对阵奥格斯堡的比赛中吃到本赛季第5张黄牌,因此缺席了周中对阵美因茨的比赛,他几乎肯定会回归阵容。

在双方28次正面交锋中,波罗西亚取得15胜7负6平。两队都踢得很好,这应该是一场得分很高的比赛。最后,这场比赛没有明确的热门,但我相信多特蒙德不会输。


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