Mönchengladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen

Mönchengladbach host Bayer Leverkusen for this German Bundesliga round 16 clash at Borussia-Park. This is the third-best league in the world and all the football fans have every reason to expect a pretty-high-level match with probably at least a few goals! Both teams have quite much offensive power but not the most solid defense. The visitors have played aggressive and offensive football for a quite long time and especially last season seeing five or even more goals was not very rare in their games. However, my fans' and my goal is to make a long-term profit and I think the odds are wrong here! The biggest bookmakers with the largest betting limits see them as favorites offering them odds of around 2.45. The match will be played on the 22th of this month so odds might, of course, change quite a lot before the kickoff. Indeed, I expect the odds on the hosts to drop before the match starts as smart money will probably pile up on the hosts. They should be narrow favorites here as by pure class the teams are more or less equal. With the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option my fans and I have a very good chance of winning! Indeed, the hosts have been very strong at their stadium this season winning 6/8 matches in front of their loud fans this season. Leverkusen are having a disappointing season and are currently in 12th place in the league table. They have grabbed just 18 points. Leverkusen have netted the ball 25 times – a bigger number than Frankfurt – currently in 4th place. However, their defense has not impressed me and has been their biggest problem this season. They have conceded more goals than Hertha Berlin currently in the 15th place in the standings!

The visitors start to the season was abysmal but they did improve a bit before the World Cup/ winter break taking three wins in a row in this league. I think the betting market has over-reacted to these wins.. The problems in terms of defensive structure and the defenders making too many individual mistakes are surely still there. In their most recent Bundesliga game they beat a pretty lowly team, Stuttgart, 2-0 at home. However, Stuttgart, who have not won a single game on the road this season had their chances too! They had 56% ball possession and recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Leverkusen did create more scoring attempts (11-7), shots on goal as well as recorded expected goals (xG). Indeed, they deserved the win but the final score flatters them.. Before this they beat FC Köln away from home but did not deserve the win! The hosts had close to 60% ball possession and recorded many more scoring attempts, shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Their xG number was also bigger 1.43-0.98. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 24.21 - a bit bigger than the actual number. I believe they will improve further and their potential needs to be taken into account here. However, the hosts, who have grabbed 22 points, should not be underestimated! Their defense has been much better than that of the visitors and have also scored 28 goals. They beat a strong team, Dortmund, 4-2 at home before the break. Both teams played quite well in friendlies during the break.

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Mönchengladbach vs勒沃库森

Mönchengladbach德甲第16轮主场迎战勒沃库森。这是世界上第三好的联赛，所有的球迷都有理由期待一场相当高水平的比赛，可能至少有几个进球!两支球队都有很强的进攻能力，但都没有最坚固的防守。客队在很长一段时间里都踢得很有侵略性和进攻性的足球，尤其是上赛季，在他们的比赛中看到5个甚至更多的进球并不罕见。然而，我的粉丝和我的目标是获得长期利润，我认为这种可能性是错误的!拥有最大投注限额的最大博彩公司将他们视为热门，提供2.45左右的赔率。这场比赛将在本月22日进行，所以在开球前赔率可能会有很大变化。事实上，我预计在比赛开始前，东道主的赔率会下降，因为聪明的钱可能会堆积在东道主身上。从纯粹的阶级来看，这两支球队或多或少是平等的，他们应该是微弱的热门。有了推荐的+0.5个进球的障碍选项，我的球迷和我有很大的机会获胜!事实上，东道主本赛季在他们的球场上非常强大，在他们大声的球迷面前赢得了6/8的比赛。勒沃库森本赛季表现令人失望，目前在积分榜上排名第12位。他们只拿到了18分。勒沃库森已经破门25次，比法兰克福还要多，目前排名第四。然而，他们的防守并没有给我留下深刻的印象，这是他们本赛季最大的问题。他们比目前排名第15位的柏林赫塔丢了更多的球!

客队本赛季开局糟糕透顶，但在世界杯/冬歇期之前他们确实有所改善，在联赛中取得了三连胜。我认为博彩市场对这些胜利反应过度了。防守结构上的问题和后卫犯太多个人错误肯定还存在。在最近的一场德甲比赛中，他们在主场2-0击败了实力相当弱的斯图加特。然而，本赛季在客场一场也没赢过的斯图加特也有机会!他们有56%的控球率，记录了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。勒沃库森确实创造了更多的得分尝试(11-7)，射门和预期进球(xG)。的确，他们应该赢，但是最后的比分让他们更得意了。在此之前，他们在客场击败了FC Köln，但并不值得胜利!东道主的控球率接近60%，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻和危险进攻。它们的xG值也较大，为1.43 ~ 0.98。他们的期望值(xPTS)是24.21分——比实际数字略大。我相信他们会进一步提高，这里需要考虑到他们的潜力。然而，已经拿到22分的东道主不应该被低估!他们的防守比客队好得多，也打进了28个进球。中场休息前，他们在主场4-2击败了强队多特蒙德。休息期间，两队在友谊赛中都打得很好。