7 Days: 17/22 WON, 4/5 this league WON! 比甲标准列日VS梅赫伦
2023-01-17

Tapio

外籍分析师

比甲

01/18 03:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Standard Liege VS Mechelen

St. Liege host Mechelen for this Belgian Jupiler Pro league round 20 clash at Stade Maurice Dufrasne early Wednesday morning Beijing time. It is easy for almost anyone who follows this fine football country's football to realize that St. Liege.The question is: How big favorites are the.. The biggest, often somewhat smart bookmakers with largest betting limits offer odds of close to 2.00 on the hosts to send the visitors home empty-handed – at least at the time of writing this preview Tuesday afternoon Beijing time.. I would, however, expect the odds on the hosts to drop before the kickoffs as sharp money is expected to pile up on them! The current odds are definitely lucrative and we must take advantage of this opportunity! According to my sophisticated in-depth analysis St. Liege have a 58% chance of winning. The visitors have been abysmal away from home this season losing six of their eight games on the road in Jupiler pro League with a score difference of 7:17. They are usually too defensive and cautious – often even shy away from home. This means that the opponent, especially the strong – or even mediocre teams, are able to control the events on the pitch and usually score sooner or later as their defense is not structured well enough.. Moreover, Mechelen's offensive play is often very limited away from home.. They did beat Kortrijk away from home 1-0 away from home six days ago though but Kortrijk, currently in 15th place, are not a very strong team and the match could easily have gone either way.. Mechelen are currently in 13th place with 22 points to their account and I do not see them having a good chance to climb up the standings. Their score difference is weak – 27:34. Eupen and/or Kortrijk toppling them during the rest of the season is possible.. Their season has indeed been a big disappointment after a pretty strong last season!  The bookies do not seem to have fully realized the drop in their level – in all areas of the game and,as a result, over-value them.

In their most recent game the visitors beat Oostende, one of the worst teams in this league - currently in the 16th place with 17 points - 2-1 at home. They were priced around 1.70 to win on the betting market but were only slightly the better teams on the pitch.. They did create a few more scoring chances and shots on goal but Oostende recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts, on the other hand, are having a positive season and are in the 6th place with 31 points and have clearly improved from last season. They have an edge in all areas of the game. Especially their defense is much more solid than that of the visitors. Their players' total market value according to Transfermarkt.com is some 30 million euros more than that of Mechelen! St. Liege have netted the ball 31 times and allowed 24 goals. They have played four draws in a row but have been unlucky not to win at least two of these four games.. Especially in their most recent match they would have deserved a win away from home over Seraing but it was a 1-1 draw. St. Liege had close to 70% ball possession and many more scoring attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They lacked some creativity and shooting accuracy in offense though and only managed one shot on the hosts' goal. I want to mention, however, that Seraing defended much better than normally in this clash. The other three draws came against pretty strong opponents – St. Truidense, Juventus (friendly game) and Gent, currently in fifth place in the league table. The hosts have loud and loyal fans and I believe will be aggressive putting massive pressure on Mechelen's often shaky defense! They are surely hungry to finally win!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

标准列日VS梅赫伦

< / p > < p >。北京时间周三凌晨,列日主场迎战梅赫伦,迎战比利时Jupiler职业联赛第20轮。几乎任何一个关注这个优秀足球国家足球的人都很容易意识到圣列日。问题是:最受欢迎的…规模最大、通常有些精明的博彩公司开出了最高投注限额,赌东道主让游客空手而归的赔率接近2.00——至少在北京时间周二下午撰写本文时是这样。然而,我预计东道主的赔率会在开球前下降,因为大笔的钱预计会在他们身上堆积起来!目前的赔率绝对是有利可图的,我们必须利用这个机会!根据我的深入分析圣列日有58%的胜算。客队本赛季客场表现糟糕透顶,在朱庇勒职业联赛的8场客场比赛中输掉了6场,比分差为7:17。他们通常过于自卫和谨慎,甚至经常羞于出门。这意味着对手,尤其是强队,甚至是平庸的球队,能够控制球场上的事件,通常迟早会进球,因为他们的防守结构不够好。此外,梅赫伦在客场的进攻发挥常常非常有限。六天前,他们确实在客场以1-0击败了科尔特里克,但目前排名第15位的科尔特里克并不是一支非常强大的球队,比赛很容易就会走向任何一方。梅赫伦目前以22分排在第13位,我不认为他们有很好的机会爬上积分榜。他们的比分差距很小,是27:34。尤彭和/或科尔特里克有可能在赛季剩余的时间里推翻他们。在上个赛季表现相当强劲之后,他们这个赛季确实令人非常失望!博彩公司似乎没有完全意识到他们水平的下降——在游戏的所有领域,因此,高估了他们。

在最近的一场比赛中,客队主场2-1击败了联赛中最差的球队之一奥斯坦德,目前积17分排在第16位。他们在博彩市场上的获胜价格约为1.70英镑,但在球场上只是稍微好一点。他们确实创造了更多的得分机会和射门机会,但奥斯坦德记录了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。另一方面,东道主本赛季表现积极,积31分排名第6,与上赛季相比有明显进步。他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。尤其是他们的防守要比客队坚固得多。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,他们球员的总市值比梅赫伦高出3000万欧元!圣列日队共攻入31球,失球24球。他们已经打了四场平局,但不幸的是,这四场比赛中至少有两场没有赢。特别是在最近的一场比赛中,他们本应该在客场战胜西莱恩,但结果是1-1战平。圣列日队有近70%的控球率和更多的得分尝试,总传球,完成传球,进攻和危险进攻。但他们在进攻中缺乏创造力和射门精度,只在东道主的球门上射了一脚。然而,我想说的是,西林在这场比赛中的防守比平时要好得多。另外三场平局的对手都是相当强大的对手——圣特鲁伊登塞、尤文图斯(友谊赛)和目前排名第五的根特。主队拥有热情而忠诚的球迷,我相信他们会很有侵略性,对梅赫伦经常不稳定的防守施加巨大的压力!他们肯定渴望最终获胜!


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