In my opinion Elche is able to avoid loss in today's match up. Odds on Cadiz are simply too low. Already raised by 0.12 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Cadiz failed to win in 6 of 8 matches in La Liga against Elche. Cadiz manager Sergio Gonzalez failed to win in 4 of last 5 La Liga matches against Elche. Cadiz also failed to win in 7 of 8 home league matches.

Cadiz is in relegation zone - they failed to win in 13 of 16 league matches so far. In current season they scored only one goal more than Elche, but they are worse than Elche in couple departments like average % of ball possession per game, shots on target per game or shots made by opponents. I really don't see big difference between both teams.

Why I believe in Elche? They changed coach during World Cup break. In last round they played at home against Celta Vigo and despite the loss 0:1 they looked OK - expected goals scored 1.04 (two big chances created). Elche also had huge squad problems before that game - today we will see comeback of key players like defender Verdu or midfielder Quina. That should have positive impact on their performance today.

On those circumstances I see value on away side. They don't have nothing to lose.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，埃尔切能够在今天的比赛中避免输球。加的斯的赔率实在太低了。亚洲大型市场的开市赔率已经提高了0.12，我完全同意这一趋势。

加的斯在西甲对阵埃尔切的8场比赛中有6场失败。加的斯主帅塞尔吉奥·冈萨雷斯在最近5场西甲联赛对阵埃尔切的比赛中4场失利。加的斯在8场主场比赛中有7场没有赢球。

加的斯处于降级区，到目前为止，他们在16场联赛中有13场没有赢球。本赛季他们只比埃尔切多进了一个球，但在场均控球率、场均射正率和对手射门数等方面都不如埃尔切。我真的看不出两支球队有什么大的不同。

为什么我相信Elche?他们在世界杯期间换了教练。上一轮他们在主场对阵塞尔塔维戈，尽管0:1失利，但他们看起来还不错——预期进球1.04(创造了两次大机会)。埃尔切在那场比赛之前也有很大的阵容问题——今天我们将看到关键球员的复出，比如后卫维尔杜和中场奎纳。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生积极影响。

在这种情况下，我看到了远处的价值。他们没有什么可失去的。

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