In my opinion Casa Pia have really good chances to make positive result in today's match up. +0 AH looks like very safe bet to play. I expect drops in odds prior to the kickoff.

For me is hard to imagine win for Estoril. In current season they won only 1 of 6 home matches and conceded 12 goals in the process. Defensive formation don't have any stability. I didn't saw any improvement after the break. In first match of the 2023 Estoril played on away against Arouca and recorded fully deserved 0:2 loss. They looked horrible at the back in that game - Arouca created 5 big chances to score and according to the expected goals scored model should score 3.31 goals.

In addition to that Estoril still have serious squad problems. Second-best & third-best player in current season (according to the ratings) central midfielders Geraldes & Loreintz not played since November and they are also unavailable today.

Casa Pia coming for this game in superb form - they are the biggest surprise of the season. They are in top5 with realistic chances for European Cups. After the break they won 2:1 against Portimonense and they recorded draw 0:0 at home against strong Porto. Only two teams in whole league conceded less goals than Casa Pia. On the other hand only Maritimo have higher expected goals conceded number than Estoril. Stability at the back should really make big difference today.

Casa Pia have all required tools to continue their great season and to make some points in Estoril today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，卡萨皮亚在今天的比赛中有很好的机会取得积极的结果。+0 AH看起来是非常安全的赌注。我预计开球前赔率会下降。

对我来说很难想象Estoril赢。本赛季，他们在6场主场比赛中只赢了1场，丢了12球。防守阵型没有任何稳定性。休息后我没有看到任何改善。在2023年的第一场比赛中，埃斯托里尔客场对阵阿鲁卡，0:2输掉了比赛。在那场比赛中，他们的后场表现很糟糕——阿鲁卡创造了5次大的进球机会，根据预期进球数模型，他应该打进3.31球。

除此之外，埃斯托里尔还有严重的阵容问题。第二,本赛季第三好的球员(根据收视率)中前卫杰拉德斯&安培;洛伦茨从11月以来就没有参加比赛，今天他们也不能上场。

卡萨皮亚以出色的状态来迎接这场比赛——他们是本赛季最大的惊喜。他们目前排名前五，很有可能获得欧洲冠军杯。中场休息后，他们2:1战胜了Portimonense，在主场0:0战平了强大的波尔图。整个联赛中只有两支球队的失球比卡萨皮亚少。另一方面，只有马里蒂莫的预期失球数高于埃斯托里尔。后场的稳定将会带来很大的不同。

Casa Pia拥有所有必要的工具来继续他们的伟大赛季，并在今天的埃斯托里尔取得一些成绩。