High odds, too high? 西甲阿梅里亚VS马竞
2023-01-15

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

01/15 23:15

已完赛

解读理由:

There has not been much to brag about in the Almeria performances all season, but they have particularly bad after the international break. I previewed their loss 0-2 to Sociedad last round, and I strongly believe this will be a similar match at least by performance data.

Almeria created goal expectation a worth of 0.3 xG, and considering they still had 6 shots on target it reveals how desperate the shot locations and positions have been. On the other hand Socided had 9 shots, but look at the locations! In the Golden area, very close to goal and they opened the Almeria defense like a tin can several times!

Atletico Madrid have been perhaps the biggest disappointment in La Liga this season, but they still have performed like the 4th or 5th best team in Spain, and despite losing to Barcelona it was not a deserved one, a look below:

All in all the two matches after the break have been rather promising performances, but the main reasons for me

are the fact that Almeria really are no threat attacking-wise, and that the air has finally cleared at Atletico with the departure of Joao Felix. And especially the fact that young Barrios will start in the midfield! He is one of the shiniest young players from Madrid in decades, and he may just be the one who will turn around the Atletico season. Coach Simeone said that he has never been a young player so easily coming into first team, and he did not even go through the reserve side but comes straight from the under -19 league!

There are a couple of defensive absentees at Atletico, and a season or two ago they might have felt like important ones, but in the form of this season it is probably only a good that Savic is suspended and Hermoso a doubt.

There is no Barrios in the expected lineup by Marca, but according to my information he is a starter in a 5 man midfield, but a lot depends on fitness of Hermoso. Anyway, Barrios will play today, just watch him closely!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

整个赛季阿尔梅里亚队的表现并没有什么值得夸耀的,但在国际比赛日之后,他们的表现尤其糟糕。我预测了他们上一轮0-2输给Sociedad的比赛,我坚信这将是一场类似的比赛,至少从表现数据来看。

阿尔梅里亚创造了一个价值0.3 xG的进球期望,考虑到他们仍然有6次射正,这揭示了射门位置和位置是多么令人绝望。另一方面,socide有9个镜头,但看看这些位置!在黄金区,非常接近球门,他们几次像打开罐头一样打开了阿尔梅里亚的防线!

马德里竞技可能是本赛季西甲联赛中最令人失望的球队,但他们仍然表现得像西班牙第4或第5名的球队,尽管输给了巴塞罗那,但这并不是一个应得的结果,看看下面:

总的来说,休息后的两场比赛都有相当有希望的表现,但主要原因对我来说

阿尔梅里亚在进攻方面没有任何威胁,随着若昂·费利克斯的离开,马竞的气氛终于变得明朗。尤其是年轻的巴里奥斯将会在中场首发!他是几十年来马德里最闪亮的年轻球员之一,他可能就是那个能扭转马竞赛季的人。西蒙尼教练说,他从来没有作为一个年轻球员这么容易进入一线队,他甚至没有经过预备队,而是直接从u19联赛来的!

马竞有几个后防线缺阵的球员,在一两个赛季前,他们可能还被认为是重要的球员,但在本赛季的状态下,萨维奇停赛和赫莫索被怀疑可能只是一件好事。

《马卡报》预期的阵容中没有巴里奥斯,但根据我的信息,他是5人中场的首发,但这在很大程度上取决于赫莫索的健康状况。不管怎样,巴里奥斯今天会上场,仔细看他!


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