Even more PROFIT? 12/13 latest WON! 法甲昂热VS克莱蒙
2023-01-15

Tapio

外籍分析师

法甲

01/15 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Angers vs Clermont

Angers welcome Clermont for this French Ligue 1 battle at Stade Raymond-Kopa late Sunday evening Beijing time. This a top-5 league on the planet but this game will probably not be of particularly high-level. However, making a long-term profit is, of course, my fans' and my main priority! We achieved great results betting on this league and have another very promising betting opportunity here! Indeed, the odds on the betting market are not correct at all! The biggest, often rather sharp bookies with the biggest stake limits offer odds of around 2.35-2.45 on the hosts to win at the time of posting at least.. I, however,  would not be surprised to see Clermont's odds drop before the start of the match as smart money is piling up on the visitors. In my opinion Clermont are definitely the better team of the two! It is indeed great to see the bookmakers just keep making mistakes with their odds in Ligue 1 and in Ligue 2, the 2nd tier, as well.. With today's expected lineups Clermont's situation is much better.! The hosts are expected to be without injured I. Amadou, D. Diony (knee), U. Eneme-Ella (knee), A. Kalla (knee), Z. Ould Khalz (thigh), and A. Ounahi. Clermont, on the other hand, will be without injured S Cisse and M.Gobalons. With the expected lineups Clermont have a 39% chance to go home with all three points. The home advantage is, of course, something we need to consider, but the home fans have been very frustrated lately - as one might expect.. I do not expect the home crowd to be a great boost for Angers here..

The visitors are having a very positive season and currently occupy the 9th place in standings. They have grabbed 25 points and have a score difference of 22:26. They have surprised me positively this season – in all areas of the game. Especially their defense has been much more solid than last season. It has a better structure and Clermont's players have made much less silly individual mistakes than during the 2021-2022 campaign. Their offense, on the other hand, has more creativity and the passing accuracy near the opponent's goal – at critical moments – have been better than last season. They have won two of the latest matches in Ligue 1 against strong opponents! In their most recent game they defeated Rennes 2-1 at home recording more goal attempts and shots on goal. They created 2.09 in expected goals (xG) the visitors' number was 0.79. Rennes did receive two red cards though – Bourigeaud was sent off in the 77th minute (tripping) and Omari got the red card in the 83th minute for holding. Clermont were clear underdogs in this match – priced around 4.20 to win on the betting market. Once again we could see that the bookies underestimated Clermont. Before this they suffered an unlucky loss in Coupe de France (French Cup) after penalties away from home. However, on the 1st of this month they beat a big team Lyon away from home in Ligue priced over 6.00 to win! A great performance! They even recorded much more in xG – 1.32-0.76. Before this they did, however, lose to a strong team, Lille,currently in 7th place, 0-2 but the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest.

Angers are the rock-bottom team in the standings and have grabbed just eight points. Their goal difference is abysmal -  16:39! The number of goals allowed is clearly the biggest in this league! Their defense lacks everything – structure, individual skill - and they regularly make horrible mistakes! The midfielders have failed to help in defending.. Their level has massively dropped from last season but the bookies clearly fail to fully realize this! They would have deserved more than eight points in terms of expected points (xPTS) but are still a bad team low in confidence. I believe the bookies give way too much emphasis to their last season and potential.. I do expect them to relegate in May even if they were to buy new players.. According to my sources their team spirit is also far from good.. They have now lost 10 games in a row in Ligue 1 and it is hard to write anything positive about them at the moment! They did beat Strasbourg in Coupe de France through penalties a week ago though but did not impress me. Strasbourg are in the 19th place in this league with 20 clubs total. Lastly, I want to mention I do not trust their coach Abdel Bouhazama  at all!  He was made permanent manager earlier this month following an interim period. In their most recent match they faced PSG in Paris and lost 0-2. PSG – without K. Mbappe in this match - did not allow them any shots on goal and easily won even if they looked a bit lazy and were far from their best level..

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

昂热对克莱蒙特

北京时间周日晚些时候,在雷蒙德-科帕球场,昂热欢迎克莱蒙特参加这场法甲联赛。这是世界上排名前五的联赛,但这场比赛可能不会特别高水平。然而,长期盈利当然是我的粉丝和我的首要任务!我们在这个联赛中取得了很好的投注结果,并且在这里有另一个非常有前途的投注机会!事实上,博彩市场上的赔率根本不正确!最大的,通常相当敏锐的博彩公司与最大的赌注限制提供大约2.35-2.45的赔率,在发布至少…然而,我,在比赛开始前看到克莱蒙特的赔率下降并不奇怪,因为客队身上的聪明钱越来越多。在我看来,克莱蒙特绝对是这两支球队中更好的一支!确实很高兴看到博彩公司在法甲和法甲的赔率上不断出错。随着今天预期的阵容,克莱蒙特的情况好多了。东道主阿马杜、迪奥尼(膝盖受伤)、内梅尼埃拉(膝盖受伤)、卡拉(膝盖受伤)、古尔德卡尔兹(大腿受伤)和乌纳希都没有受伤。另一方面,克莱蒙特将没有受伤的西塞和戈巴隆。按照预期的阵容,克莱蒙特有39%的机会拿三分回家。当然,主场优势是我们需要考虑的,但正如人们所料,主场球迷最近非常沮丧。我不认为主场球迷会给昂热带来很大的鼓舞。

游客在这个赛季表现非常好,目前在积分榜上排名第九。他们已经拿到了25分,比分差距为22:26。这个赛季他们在比赛的各个方面都给了我惊喜。尤其是他们的防守比上赛季更加稳固。它有一个更好的结构,克莱蒙特的球员犯的愚蠢的个人错误比2021-2022赛季少得多。另一方面,他们的进攻更有创造力,在关键时刻接近对手球门的传球精度比上赛季更好。在最近的法甲联赛中,他们赢了两场强敌!在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场2-1击败雷恩,记录了更多的射门次数和射门次数。他们创造了2.09个预期进球数(xG),客队的预期进球数为0.79个。雷恩确实吃了两张红牌——布里格奥德在第77分钟被红牌罚下(绊倒),奥马里在第83分钟因持球被红牌罚下。克莱蒙特在这场比赛中明显处于下风,在博彩市场上的定价约为4.20英镑。我们再一次看到博彩公司低估了克莱蒙特。在此之前,他们在法国杯(Coupe de France Cup)比赛中在客场点球后不幸失利。然而,在本月1日,他们在法甲客场击败了一支价格超过6.00的强队里昂。精彩的表演!他们甚至在xG - 1.32-0.76中记录了更多。然而,在此之前,他们确实输给了一支强队里尔,目前排名第7,0-2,但比赛比最终比分显示的更加平衡。

昂热是积分榜上垫底的球队,只拿到了8分。他们的净胜球差得一塌糊涂。16:39 !被允许进球的数量显然是这个联赛中最多的!他们的防守缺乏一切——结构,个人技术——而且他们经常犯可怕的错误!中场队员没能帮助防守。他们的水平从上赛季开始大幅下降,但博彩公司显然没有完全意识到这一点!他们本应获得8分以上的期望积分(xPTS),但仍然是一支信心不足的糟糕球队。我相信博彩公司太强调他们上个赛季的潜力了。我确实希望他们在5月份降级,即使他们买了新球员。根据我的消息来源,他们的团队精神也很差。他们现在已经在法甲联赛中连输10场比赛,现在很难对他们写任何正面的东西!他们确实在一周前的法国杯上通过点球击败了斯特拉斯堡,但并没有给我留下深刻的印象。斯特拉斯堡在联赛中排名第19位,共有20家俱乐部。最后,我想说的是,我不相信他们的教练博哈扎马。!,经过一段过渡期后,他在本月早些时候被任命为永久经理。在最近一场对阵巴黎圣日耳曼的比赛中,他们以0-2输掉了比赛。在这场比赛中没有姆巴佩的巴黎圣日耳曼没有让他们有任何射门机会,即使他们看起来有点懒散,距离他们的最佳水平还很远,他们也轻松赢得了比赛。

< / p > < p >祝你好运!


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