Guests should win this.

Almeria is a good team, performing well at home, but they lack quality and consistency. They have been totally outplayed by all top teams in the league so far: Barcelona (2:0), Real Sociedad (0:2), Betis (3:1), Villarreal (2:1), Athletic Club (4:0)...

Their defense is a problem, because the team is offensive and they leave a lot of spaces at the back. That’s why they have conceded 25 goals and lost 9 games out of 16 played, more than other teams on relegation like Cadiz or Espanyol, who lost 6 and 7.

On the other hand, Atletico looks like it’s improving. Not only in results, also in performances. The team has been playing better since the WC break, including a good game played against Barcelona last weekend where they lost 0:1 but maybe deserved at least one point there.

They need points because they are 6th on the table, with many teams fighting for the Champions League position (Villarreal, Betis, Real Sociedad, Athletic Club). But this match could be good for them.

Atletico is a team who struggles against defensive teams who park the bus. That’s why they have poor results at home (3/2/3). They dont have the ability to break solid defenses and create chances against a team who play with 8-9-10 defenders inside their area. But playing away, things are different. Playing away they have more spaces and chances, and that’s why they have even better results than at home: 5/1/2. The defeats came against defensive teams who parked the bus even playing at home: Cadiz and Mallorca.

But as said, Almeria is an offensive team so Atletico Madrid will find spaces here to attack and score goals. This will be perfect for them, because have quality and the kind of game I’m expecting is perfect for controlling, attacking and achieve an important and needed victory.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

客人应该赢得这一点。

阿尔梅里亚是一支优秀的球队，在主场表现出色，但他们缺乏质量和稳定性。到目前为止，他们已经被联赛中所有顶级球队完全击败:巴塞罗那(2:0)，皇家社会(0:2)，贝蒂斯(3:1)，比利亚雷亚尔(2:1)，竞技俱乐部(4:0)……

他们的防守是一个问题，因为这支球队是进攻型的，他们在后场留下了很多空间。这就是为什么他们在16场比赛中丢了25球，输了9场，比其他降级球队，如加的斯或西班牙人，分别输了6场和7场。

另一方面，马竞看起来正在进步。不仅在结果上，也在表现上。自从WC假期以来，这支球队表现得更好，包括上周末对阵巴塞罗那的一场精彩比赛，他们0:1失利，但至少应该得到一分。

他们需要积分，因为他们在积分榜上排名第六，很多球队都在争夺欧冠的位置(比利亚雷亚尔，贝蒂斯，皇家社会，竞技俱乐部)。但这场比赛可能对他们有好处。

马竞是一支与防守防守的球队斗争的球队。这就是为什么他们在家里的成绩很差(3/2/3)。他们没有能力打破坚固的防守，并在他们的区域内面对一个8-9-10防守球员的球队创造机会。但在客场比赛时，情况就不同了。客场比赛他们有更多的空间和机会，这就是为什么他们比主场有更好的结果:5/1/2。失利的对手是防守型球队，他们甚至在主场比赛:加的斯和马略卡。

但正如前面所说，阿尔梅里亚是一支进攻型球队，所以马竞会在这里找到进攻和进球的空间。这对他们来说是完美的，因为有质量和我期待的那种比赛是完美的控制，进攻和取得重要和必要的胜利。