In my opinion Tottenham have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Tottenham didn't lost in last 8 consecutive Premier League home matches against Arsenal (6 wins in the process). Home side always had big advantage in North London derby because in last 24 matches between both teams in Premier League we saw only one victory of guests. I believe we will see continuation of this streak also today.

Tottenham had very bad period, but in last round they recorded huge 4:0 win on away against Crystal Palace and for sure they coming here in great mood and wants to go with momentum front of home crowd. Key winger Kulusevski is available and Tottenham trio Kulusevski/Kane/Son looks very dangerous. Spurs captain and best striker Harry Kane is in great form after World Cup break as he scored 4 goals in 4 matches, he loves to play against Arsenal as he scored 9 goals in 8 home Premier League matches against them. Tottenham scored at least one goal in last 10 Premier League matches in a row against Gunners.

Arsenal best assistant and second-best scorer Saka left the pitch in last game and is doubtful for this game. Obviously, Arsenal have excellent season, but their results looks better than really should. They scored 40 goals so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 33.3. They also should conceded 1.2 goals more than they conceded. Team is young, today is big pressure on the to deliver in such important game and for sure that not will be easy for them to handle that.

Odds on Tottenham in my eyes are simply too high and this is 'must-try' option for today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，热刺避免输球的几率比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

热刺在过去连续8场英超主场对阵阿森纳的比赛中没有输球(6胜)。主队在北伦敦德比中总是有很大的优势，因为在过去的24场英超比赛中，我们只看到了一场客队的胜利。我相信今天我们也会看到这种势头的延续。

热刺经历了一段非常糟糕的时期，但在上一轮他们在客场4:0大胜水晶宫，毫无疑问，他们带着良好的心情来到这里，希望在主场观众面前保持势头。关键边锋库卢塞夫斯基可以上场，热刺三人组库卢塞夫斯基/凯恩/孙兴慜看起来非常危险。热刺队长兼最佳前锋哈里·凯恩在世界杯后状态良好，他在4场比赛中打入4球，他喜欢与阿森纳比赛，他在8场英超主场对阵阿森纳的比赛中打入9球。热刺在最近10场对阵枪手的英超比赛中至少打入1球。

阿森纳最佳助教和第二射手萨卡在上一场比赛中离场，他是否能在本场比赛中出场还是个疑问。显然，阿森纳本赛季表现出色，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。到目前为止，他们已经进了40个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该得到33.3个进球。他们也应该比失球多丢1.2球。球队还很年轻，在这样重要的比赛中，他们面临着巨大的压力，当然这对他们来说并不容易处理。

在我看来，热刺的赔率太高了，这是今天“必须尝试”的选择。