In my opinion Nantes have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Nantes for sure coming for this game without any fear as they didn't lost in 4 of last 5 away matches against Montpellier. They didn't lost in 13 of last 19 matches in all competitions against them.

Both teams are just above relegation zone so it's important match for league table, but without any shadow of doubt Nantes plays better in current season, Montpellier plays poor and it's visible in models. Nantes scored 18 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 21.6. They conceded 24 and they should 24.3. On the other hand Montpellier scored 28 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 21.8. Defensive formation is horrible, already 37 goals conceded (only two teams conceded more).

Both teams coming for this game in totally different mood. Nantes didn't lost any of 4 matches after the break and looked superb at the back as they kept 4 clean sheets in a row. On the other hand Montpellier lost last 3 matches in a row and in each game conceded more than one goal. Guests defensive formation stability and consistency should make big difference today.

Looks like after this game Romain Pitau going to be first manager in history without a win in first 4 home matches on the Montpellier bench. I trust for Nantes.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，南特很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

南特肯定会来参加这场比赛，没有任何恐惧，因为他们在过去5场客场对阵蒙彼利埃的比赛中有4场没有输球。在过去的19场比赛中，他们在所有赛事中有13场没有输球。

两支球队都在降级区之上，所以这对积分榜来说是一场重要的比赛，但毫无疑问，南特在本赛季表现更好，蒙彼利埃踢得很差，这在模型中显而易见。南特打进18球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打进21.6球。他们丢了24分，应该是24.3分。另一方面，蒙彼利埃打进28球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打进21.8球。防守阵型很糟糕，已经丢了37个球(只有两支球队丢球更多)。

两个队来参加这场比赛的心情完全不同。南特在休息后的4场比赛中没有输掉任何一场，他们在后防线上表现出色，连续4场零封对手。另一方面，蒙彼利埃在最近的三场比赛中连败，每场比赛都丢了不止一个球。今天客人的防守阵型的稳定性和稳定性会有很大的不同。

看起来在这场比赛之后，罗曼·皮托将成为历史上第一位在蒙彼利埃的替补席上前四场主场比赛无一胜的主教练。我相信南特。