Great odds in this Premier League game!
2023-01-14

Ricards

外籍分析师

英超

01/15 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Six games are going to happen in the English Premier League on Saturday night. The last game of the day is going to be between Brentford and Bournemouth. After 18 games played, Brentford has 6 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a total of 26 points and the 9th place in the standings while Bournemouth has 4 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses, a total of 16 points and 16th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Brentford will win.

After the World Cup break, Brentford has played very well. At home, the team drew against Tottenham, it was followed by a win on the road against West Ham and then Brentford shocked everyone with a win against Liverpool. Last weekend, the team played in FA Cup but lost to West Ham at home although Brentford controlled the ball more (59% against 41%) and had more shots. Brentford has been a decent home team with 4 wins in 9 games, just 1 loss, and a total of 18 goals scored and 10 conceded.

Bournemouth is having a very bad season. The team restarted the season with 5 losses in a row. Very terrible they play on the road as they have just 1 win in 9 road games, 1 draw, 6 losses, and a total of 9 goals scored and 29 conceded which is by far the worst result in the Premier League. Bournemouth is expected to score only 0.86 goals on the road (2nd worst) and concede 2.15 goals (the worst).

The only loss at home for Brentford has been against Arsenal while 2 of 4 draws were against Tottenham and Chelsea which can't be called a bad result. Brentford also drew against Everton although the hosts had as twice bigger xG (2.15 to 1.07). The draw was also against Wolverhampton and again, Brentford had a way better xG (1.41 to 0.61). The only road win for Bournemouth was against Nottingham although opponents had a better xG (0.78 to 1.90). Draws were against Newcastle (opponents also had way better xG) and Fulham (the same story about xG).

It looks like the best Brentford player Ivan Toney will be ready to play on Saturday. He has been the most important piece of the team as he has scored 12 times this season while Bryan Mbeumo and Yoane Wissa are in 2nd place with 4 goals. Shandon Baptiste, Frank Onyeka and Aaron Hickey could also come back, leaving Pontus Jansson as the hosts' only absentee for Saturday's game. For Bournemouth, Adam Smith will miss the game because of 5 yellow cards while Ryan Fredericks won't be able to play because of an injury.

At his point of the season, Brentford is clearly a better team. There are many problems for Bournemouth as the team has conceded in 22 out of the last 23 away games in the Premier League! It's very tough to play in Brentford and I'm sure that the hosts will secure a win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上将有六场英超比赛。今天的最后一场比赛将在布伦特福德和伯恩茅斯之间进行。经过18场比赛,布伦特福德队取得6胜8平4负,积26分,排名第9位,伯恩茅斯队取得4胜4平10负,积16分,排名第16位。在这场比赛中,我预测布伦特福德会赢。

世界杯结束后,布伦特福德踢得非常好。在主场,球队战平热刺,随后在客场战胜西汉姆联,然后布伦特福德击败利物浦,震惊了所有人。上周末,球队参加了足总杯,但在主场输给了西汉姆联,尽管布伦特福德控球率更高(59%对41%),射门次数也更多。布伦特福德是一支不错的主场球队,9场比赛4胜1负,共进18球丢10球。

伯恩茅斯这个赛季很糟糕。这支球队以五连败重新开始了赛季。他们在客场的表现非常糟糕,他们在9场客场比赛中只取得了1胜,1平6负,总共进了9球,丢了29球,这是迄今为止英超最糟糕的结果。伯恩茅斯预计在客场只进0.86球(倒数第二),丢2.15球(倒数第一)。

布伦特福德在主场唯一的失利是对阵阿森纳,而4场平局中的2场是对阵热刺和切尔西,这不能被称为一个糟糕的结果。布伦特福德也逼平了埃弗顿,尽管东道主的xG是前者的两倍(2.15比1.07)。平局同样是对阵狼队,布伦特福德的xG(1.41比0.61)更好。伯恩茅斯唯一的客场胜利是对阵诺丁汉,尽管对手的xG更好(0.78比1.90)。平局是对阵纽卡斯尔(对手也有更好的xG)和富勒姆(同样的xG)。

看起来布伦特福德最好的球员伊万·托尼将在周六的比赛中出场。他是球队最重要的一员,本赛季他打进12球,而布莱恩·姆博莫和约安·韦萨以4球排名第二。巴普蒂斯特、奥涅卡和希基也有可能复出,使得杨松成为周六比赛中唯一缺席的主队球员。在伯恩茅斯,亚当·史密斯将因5张黄牌缺席比赛,而瑞恩·弗雷德里克斯则因伤无法上场。

在这个赛季,布伦特福德显然是一支更好的球队。伯恩茅斯有很多问题,因为球队在过去23场客场比赛中有22场丢了球!在布伦特福德比赛非常艰难,我相信东道主会取得一场胜利。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。