Dijon VS Valenciennes

Dijon and Valenciennes lock horns in this French Ligue 2 round 19 clash at Stade Gaston Gérard early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, often quite smart bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers seem to quite often make mistakes with their odds in this league.. Indeed, once again we have a lucrative betting opportunity here - let's go for the 6th straight Ligue 2 winner! The odds on the betting market on Dijon to win are around 1.95-2.05 at the time of writing this Friday afternoon Beijing time but I do expect the odds on Valenciennes to drop before the kickoff unless some unexpected information on the lineups comes up.. The visitors are having a good season and currently occupy the 10th place in the standings with 25 points to their account. They have clearly improved from last season when they finished in 16th place with 44 points but it seems that the bookmakers fail to realize this raise in their level! The solid, very well-organized defense had been the key thing in their success this season. They do have an excellent coach who deserves praise for his work especially in this area of the game! Indeed, Valenciennes have allowed just 16 goals in Ligue 2 so far – less than for example Amiens who are in the 5th place in the league table. However, they would have to improve offensively if they want to dream of a top-8 place at the end of the season.. They would have to be less predictable and move the ball faster near the opponent's goal. In my view they could also be more aggressive – especially against the lowly teams – putting more pressure on the opponent's defenders. They have netted the ball just 16 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 18.55. In terms of expected points they would have deserved 26.67 points. I have them in the 9th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class.

The visitors have not been able to win in their most recent four games but have at least grabbed two draws. They were slightly disappointing in their most recent match though. It was a 2-2 draw at home against Annecy after a balanced clash. However, I want to mention that Annecy did play very well in this clash. Before this they lost to Paris FC as clear underdogs away from home in a Coupe de France (French Cup) match 1-3 but the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest.. On the 26th of December they played well against strong Amiens and it was a 1-1 draw at home in a match that could have gone either way.. Valenciennes are the better team by pure class but the home advantage is usually substantial in Ligue 2 and the visitors have not been too great away from home so far. Dijon are slim favorites but Valenciennes have a 61% chance to take at least a point in this match with low goal expectancy and a pretty high probability for a draw – 32%. The chance for under 2.5 total goals to be scored is higher than the bookies estimate – 66%. I expect Valenciennes to be pretty defensive, even cautious here and as Dijon's offense is not great, many goals would indeed be a surprise.. Dijon have been a major disappointment this season and are in 19th place with just 18 points and a negative score difference – 19:21. Last season they finished in 11th place. Yes, the hosts can - and I believe will improve -  but I think it will take time and the bookies seem to give too much emphasis on the ”potential factor”. Perhaps a few new players would be needed as well..  They have won just one of their most recent 14 games and are clearly low in confidence. The win came on the 26th of December against a totally out-of-form team Laval – 5-0 was the final score at home. However, the win itself was a deserved one but the final score is still very misleading as Laval had 55% ball possession and even recorded more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. 

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第戎VS瓦朗舍

第戎和瓦伦香在这场法甲第19轮的比赛中在加斯顿体育场上演Gérard北京时间周六凌晨。最大的，通常相当聪明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注，似乎经常在这个联盟中犯错误。的确，我们在这里又有了一个有利可图的投注机会——让我们来赌第六个法甲冠军吧!在北京时间本周五下午写这篇文章的时候，第戎的投注赔率大约是1.95-2.05，但是我希望瓦朗斯的赔率在开赛前会下降，除非有一些关于阵容的意外消息出现。客队本赛季表现不错，目前以25分排名积分榜第10位。上赛季他们以44分排名第16位，但似乎博彩公司没有意识到他们水平的提高!坚固的，组织良好的防守是他们这个赛季成功的关键。他们确实有一个优秀的教练，他的工作值得称赞，尤其是在比赛的这个领域!事实上，瓦伦西亚到目前为止在法甲只丢了16个球，比排在第五位的亚眠还少。然而，如果他们想在赛季结束时进入前8名，他们就必须在进攻上有所提高。他们必须不那么可预测，并在对手球门附近更快地转移球。在我看来，他们也可以更有侵略性——尤其是对低水平球队——给对手的后卫更多的压力。他们只进了16次网。然而，他们的预期进球数(xG)是18.55个。就预期得分而言，他们本应获得26.67分。在我的实力评分中，他们排在第9位，这反映了两支球队的纯粹水平。

客队在最近的四场比赛中未能获胜，但至少取得了两场平局。不过，他们在最近的比赛中有点令人失望。在主场2-2战平安纳西后，双方势均力敌。然而，我想说的是，安纳西在这场比赛中确实发挥得很好。在此之前，他们在法国杯客场1-3输给了巴黎FC，但比赛比最终比分更平衡。在12月26日对阵强大的亚眠队时，他们表现出色，在主场1-1战平，这是一场双方都有可能走向的比赛。从级别上来说，瓦伦西安是一支更好的球队，但在法甲，主场优势通常是巨大的，到目前为止，客队在客场的表现并不太好。第戎是夺冠的小热门，但瓦伦西安有61%的机会在这场比赛中至少拿一分，进球预期很低，而且平局的概率相当高——32%。总进球数低于2.5球的几率比博彩公司估计的要高——66%。我认为瓦伦西亚会防守得很好，甚至在这里会很谨慎，而第戎的进攻并不好，很多进球确实会让人惊讶。第戎本赛季非常令人失望，仅积18分排在第19位，比分差为负——19:21。上赛季他们排在第11位。是的，东道主能够——我相信也会改善——但我认为这需要时间，而且博彩公司似乎过于强调“潜在因素”。也许还需要一些新球员。他们在最近的14场比赛中只赢了一场，而且明显缺乏信心。这场胜利是在12月26日对阵状态完全不佳的拉瓦尔队时取得的，5-0是主场的最终比分。然而，这场胜利本身是一场应得的胜利，但最终的比分仍然非常具有误导性，因为拉瓦尔有55%的控球率，甚至记录了更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。