In my opinion MacArthur have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Both teams coming to this game without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Hosts coming for this game with good mental advantage. In last match between both teams in November they were able to win to win on the Mariners stadium so why not today?

I really don't see Mariners as a favorite in this game. MacArthur coming for this game in great mood after 2:0 home win against Newcastle, that was very good offensive performance (2.64 expected goals scored). They don't have to travel anywhere. Team is fully prepared and ready to go. Hosts are solid team at home as they didn't lost in 20 of last 31 matches at home (won last two in a row so for sure confidence is on the highest possible level).

Mariners are on 2nd place in league table (2 points above MacArthur), but without any shadow of doubt their position shouldn't be that high. They scored 24 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 19.7. In addition to that they played 8 of 11 matches at home. On the road they failed to win in 18 of last 29 away matches.

I believe home team is really underrated here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，麦克阿瑟在这场比赛中避免失败的几率比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

这两支球队都没有新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。

主人们带着良好的心理优势来观看这场比赛。在去年11月两队的最后一场比赛中，他们能够在水手体育场赢得胜利，所以为什么今天不能呢?

我真的不认为水手队是这场比赛的最爱。麦克阿瑟在主场2:0击败纽卡斯尔后心情很好，这是非常好的进攻表现(2.64个预期进球)。他们不需要去任何地方旅行。团队已做好充分准备，准备出发。东道主在主场实力雄厚，因为他们在过去31场主场比赛中有20场没有输球(最近两连胜，所以他们的信心肯定处于最高水平)。

水手队在积分榜上排名第二(比麦克阿瑟队高2分)，但毫无疑问，他们的位置不应该那么高。他们进了24个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进19.7个球。除此之外，他们在11场比赛中有8场在主场进行。在过去的29场客场比赛中，他们有18场没有赢球。

我认为主队真的被低估了。