HOT streak extends?!
2023-01-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

法乙

01/14 03:45

已完赛

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Bastia vs Pau

Bastia welcome Pau for this French Ligue 2 round 19 battle at Stade Armand Cesari early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, quite often quite smart bookmakers with the biggest betting limits estimate offer odds of around 2.05 for the hosts to take all three points, However I would not be at all too surprised to see the odds on Bastia to be cut before the match start as clever money is expected to pile up on them.. I have to disagree with the betting market and see Bastia having a 55% chance to win the expected lineups. Pau have not impressed me this season and are in 13th place with 22 points in the pocket and have a score difference of 16:21. In their most recent match they faced Grenoble at home as favorites according to the betting market. It was a goalless match after a pretty balanced battle. Pau did have 60% ball possession and recorded two more scoring attempts. Both teams were somewhat disappointing offensively as a whole.

The visitors have won two matches in a row in the Coupe de France (French Cup) but did not truly convince me. In Ligue 2 they have failed to win any of their latest four matches – losing two of these. The defeats came away from home against Niort 1-2 and 0-1 at home to Paris FC. They were disappointing in both matches – especially offensively. Against Niort, who are currently in the 18th place, Pau recorded only two shots on target. They would have to raise their level in all areas of the game - or have much luck on their side to travel home with all three points. Pau have been lucky this season in Ligue 2 which surely affects the odds here.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 19.23. Bastia definitely have an edge in all areas of the game and have historically been very strong at home but pretty weak on the road. This season all their home performances have not been great but they have still won 5/9 matches in front of their fans in this league. The fans are very enthusiastic and are a major boost for Bastia! They have grabbed 25 points but their xPTS number is 28.02. Bastia have won five of their latest seven matches but needed penalties in a French Cup game against Evreux to advance for the next round on the 7th of this month. They still have potential for a clear improvement and I trust their coach more than many football journalists or probably the betting market as well.. Bastia were the better team earlier this week away from home against Quevilly Rouen despite the 1-1 draw recording more shots on goal and scoring attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. It was a good performance as underdogs according to the bookmakers. Before the cup game against Evreux they beat Valenciennes 1-0 at home after a strong performance! They were priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. The win could easily have been more clear as Bastia recorded almost 20 scoring attempts – the visitors' number was just five. Moreover, Bastia created much more shots on goal – 6-2. I want to mention that Valenciennes are a better team than Pau!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

巴斯蒂亚vs保罗

巴斯蒂亚欢迎保罗参加北京时间周六凌晨在阿尔芒塞萨里球场举行的法甲第19轮比赛。最大的,通常非常聪明的博彩公司有最大的投注限额,估计提供约2.05的赔率,让东道主获得全部三分。然而,我不会太惊讶看到巴斯蒂亚的赔率在比赛开始前下降,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。我不同意博彩市场的观点,认为巴斯蒂亚有55%的机会赢得预期的阵容。保罗本赛季并没有给我留下深刻的印象,他以22分的成绩排在第13位,比分差距为16:21。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场迎战格勒诺布尔,根据博彩市场的预测,他们是最受欢迎的球队。在一场相当平衡的战斗之后,这是一场零进球的比赛。保罗确实有60%的控球率,而且还有两次得分。两支球队的进攻整体上都有些令人失望。

客队在法国杯上取得了两连胜,但并没有真正说服我。在法甲联赛中,他们在最近的四场比赛中没有赢过一场,其中输了两场。两场比赛分别在客场1-2和0-1输给了尼奥尔特和巴黎FC。他们在两场比赛中都令人失望,尤其是在进攻端。与排在第18位的尼奥尔特队的比赛中,保罗只射正了2次。他们必须在比赛的各个方面都提高自己的水平,否则他们就得运气好才能带着三分回家。保罗本赛季在法甲很幸运,这肯定影响了这里的赔率。他们的期望点数(xPTS)只有19.23。巴斯蒂亚在比赛的各个方面都有优势,历史上在主场很强,但在客场很弱。本赛季他们所有的主场表现都不是很好,但他们仍然在球迷面前赢了5/9场比赛。球迷们非常热情,这是巴斯蒂亚的一大推动力!他们已经拿到了25分,但他们的xPTS数字是28.02。巴斯蒂亚在最近的7场比赛中赢了5场,但在法国杯对阵埃夫勒的比赛中需要点球才能晋级本月7日的下一轮比赛。他们仍然有明显提高的潜力,我相信他们的教练比许多足球记者更信任,也可能是博彩市场。本周早些时候,巴斯蒂亚在客场与鲁昂的比赛中表现更好,尽管1-1战平,记录了更多的射门和得分尝试,进攻和危险的进攻。根据博彩公司的说法,在处于劣势的情况下,这是一场不错的表演。在与埃夫勒的杯赛前,他们在主场1-0击败了瓦伦谢讷。博彩公司给出的中奖价格约为2.10美元。这场胜利本来可以更明显,因为巴斯蒂亚有近20次射门,而客队只有5次。此外,巴斯蒂亚创造了更多的射门机会,6-2。我想说的是,瓦伦西亚是一支比加索尔更好的球队!


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