In my opinion Strasbourg have bigger chances to avoid loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Strasbourg didn't lost in 5 of last 6 matches against Lens so the have good mental advantage. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with Strasbourg 1:0 home win.

Strasbourg coming for this match with the strongest possible line up. They are still without a win at home, but they played better than their results shows as they should score 10.46 goals instead of 9. They conceded 16 goals, but they should concede less than 14. Strasbourg is in relegation zone, but is so below their level. In previous season they finished in top6. Without any shadow of doubt it's not relegation material.

Lens have excellent season, no doubt about that, but they overperforming, especially on away. Lens failed to win in 5 of 8 league matches on the road. Their results should look much worse. Lens conceded only 4 goals in away matches so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 11.01 (it's huge difference!). Guests coming for this game without key midfielder Samed (he played in all league matches in current season).

I believe Strasbourg is really underrated in this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，斯特拉斯堡在这场比赛中避免输球的几率比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

斯特拉斯堡在过去6场对阵朗斯的比赛中有5场没有输球，所以他们有很好的心理优势。两队在这个球场的最后一场比赛以斯特拉斯堡主场1:0获胜。

斯特拉斯堡队带着最强的阵容来参加这场比赛。他们在主场仍未取得一场胜利，但他们的表现比数据显示的要好，他们应该打进10.46球，而不是9球。他们丢了16个球，但应该不超过14个。斯特拉斯堡在降级区，但比他们低很多。在上个赛季，他们排名前六。毫无疑问，这不是降级的材料。

伦斯本赛季表现出色，这是毫无疑问的，但他们表现超群，尤其是在客场。伦斯在8场客场比赛中有5场未能获胜。他们的结果看起来应该更糟。到目前为止，朗斯在客场只丢了4个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢11.01个球(差距太大了!)本场比赛的客人没有请来主力中场萨姆德(本赛季他踢满了所有联赛)。

我相信斯特拉斯堡在这场比赛中真的被低估了。