Will there be intrigue?
2023-01-10

Ricards

外籍分析师

英足总杯

01/10 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Only one FA Cup game is going to happen on Monday night. It should be very interesting in different ways as Oxford United will host London Arsenal. Yes, League One team will play against the Premier League's best team this season. The only time both teams have met was 20 years ago when Arsenal won by 2:0. In this game, I'm predicting that Arsenal will win with at least a 2-goal advantage.

This is the TOP 64 round of the FA Cup. Oxford has already played 2 rounds in this tournament. In November, Oxford beat the National League team Woking which was followed by a win 10 days later against Exeter which plays in League One. Oxford is also a League One team but their performance this season hasn't been the best. After 24 games, the team has 7 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses, a total of 29 points and 15th place in the standings. At home, the team is even worse as it has 15 points in 12 games which is only the 19th-best result among all teams. The latest stretch for Oxford hasn't been good. In December, the team drew 2 games, won 1 and lost 1 while the only game in 2023 ended with a loss against the same Exeter.

Arsenal, of course, is a different-level team. They are the leaders of the Premier League with 14 wins in 17 games. Arsenal has scored 40 times (2nd-best) and conceded only 14 (3rd-best). On the road, Arsenal is the best team with 7 wins in 9 games, a total of 18 goals scored (2nd-best) and 6 conceded (the best). Arsenal has the 4th-best xG on the road and 2nd-best xGA. Last week, Arsenal hosted Newcastle United but couldn't score a goal as the game ended with a draw. The team dominated the 2nd half with 70% ball control, 10 shots overall and an xG of 0.48. This draw could help as a motivation heading into todays game.

Oxford will be without Marcus Browne, Kyle Joseph and Sam Baldock for the game due to injury. Emile Smith Rowe could make his long-awaited return from injury for Arsenal during the game. Meanwhile, Reiss Nelson and Gabriel Jesus are both still out injured. Either way, Arsenal is a much better team and we can't forget about Oxford's struggles. Since 1994, Oxford has beaten only one Premier League team in 11 games. I'm very confident that Arsenal should win this game easily.

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