In my opinion Atalanta have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Since Gian Piero Gasperini came to the club, Atalanta won 9 of last 12 matches against Bologna. They won 1:0 in last match between both teams at this stadium so for sure they have big mental advantage. Bologna failed to score in last 3 matches in a row against Atalanta. Hosts top scorer Arnautovic doesn't like to play against Atalanta as he never scored against them in 3 matches.

Atalanta currently is on 7th place, but according to the expected goals scored model they should be higher. They scored 24 goals so far, but they should score 26.7. Only 4 teams in whole league generated higher expected goals scored number. Atalanta have also abilities to defend well - only two teams in whole league kept more clean sheets. In first match Atalanta played on away against solid Spezia (only one home loss so far). Match finished with draw 2:2, but Atalanta looked very dangerous: 19 shots, 2.16 expected goals scored and 65% ball possession. If they continue play on this level, I see big problems for Bologna.

Bologna is in the middle of the table, but their results looks better than really should. Bologna conceded at least one goal in 14 of 16 matches so far - only two clean sheets (the worst result in whole league). They scored 20 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 17.8. In first match after the break Bologna lost 0:1 on away against Roma and according to the expected goals scored model that was deserved result.

All in all, Atalanta is better at both ends of the pitch and have all required tools to make away win in today's game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，亚特兰大有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

自从加斯佩里尼加盟后，亚特兰大在过去12场对阵博洛尼亚的比赛中赢了9场。他们在这个体育场的上一场比赛中以1:0获胜，所以他们肯定有很大的精神优势。博洛尼亚在最近3场对阵亚特兰大的比赛中都没有进球。东道主头号射手阿瑙托维奇不喜欢和亚特兰大比赛，因为他已经3场比赛没有进球了。

亚特兰大目前排名第七，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该更高。到目前为止，他们打进了24球，但他们应该打进26.7球。在整个联赛中，只有4支球队的进球数比我们高。亚特兰大也有很好的防守能力——整个联赛中只有两支球队没有失球。第一场比赛亚特兰大客场对阵实力雄厚的斯佩齐亚(到目前为止只有一场主场失利)。比赛以2:2的平局结束，但亚特兰大看起来非常危险:19次射门，2.16个预期进球数和65%的控球率。如果他们继续保持这样的水平，我认为博洛尼亚将面临很大的问题。

博洛尼亚在积分榜中游，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。到目前为止，博洛尼亚在16场比赛中有14场至少丢了一个球——只有两场零封对手(这是整个联赛中最差的结果)。他们进了20个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该得到17.8个进球。在中场休息后的第一场比赛中，博洛尼亚客场0:1输给了罗马，根据预期进球数模型，这是当之无愧的结果。

总而言之，亚特兰大在攻防两端都做得更好，并且拥有在今天的比赛中取得客场胜利所需的所有工具。