Sevilla coming back from misery? 西甲塞维利亚VS赫塔费
2023-01-08

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

01/09 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

I have never liked Getafe, but this is their golden chance to seriously hurt the Sevilla side who have been poor, and who continue to have about 10 players sidelined, and whose latest league appearance away at Celta was perhaps their weakest so far on this season.

Sevilla are in the relegation zone and the whole world thinks they should not be there. Let us have a look at their season:

12 points from 15 games with a 2-6-7 saldo. The wins are 2-3 away at Espanyol in a match they did not deserve to win, and a 0-1 away at Mallorca in a game where they had one shot on goal - the long shot goal by Gudelj, and they lost the goal expectation by 1.41 v 0.18 at one of my favourite analytics services.

And look at the first half away at Celta last round, that is some return from the long break!

The expected lineups:

On paper Sevilla still look good apart from the central defense, but as the performance data shows they do belong to bottom-3 with their performances, their expected points xPts is 12 points, only Elche and Cadiz have a bit less than that!

Getafe are traditionally defensively strong, but often weak in the attack. Yet this season Unal can score, Alena and Portu are good passers and even Borja Mayoral is capable of scoring a few. There have been so many 1-1 draws lately with Sevilla it feels like the likeliest outcome also tonight, Getafe would well satisfied with that result and it is within their reach.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我从来都不喜欢赫塔菲,但这是他们严重打击塞维利亚的黄金机会,塞维利亚一直很糟糕,而且还有大约10名球员缺阵,他们最近一次客场对阵塞尔塔的比赛可能是他们本赛季迄今为止最弱的一次。

塞维利亚在降级区,全世界都认为他们不应该在那里。让我们来看看他们的季节:

15场比赛,2-6-7的萨尔多得到12分。客场2-3战胜西班牙人,这场比赛他们本不应该赢;客场0-1战胜马洛卡,这场比赛他们只有一次射门——古德尔吉的远射,他们在我最喜欢的分析服务之一以1.41比0.18的比分输掉了进球预期。

看看上一轮客场对塞尔塔的上半场,这是长时间休息后的回归!

从纸面上看,塞维利亚除了中卫之外看起来仍然不错,但从表现数据来看,他们确实属于倒数第三,他们的期望积分xPts是12分,只有埃尔切和加的斯略低于这个数字!

赫塔菲的传统防守很强,但在进攻上往往很弱。然而本赛季乌纳尔可以进球,阿莱纳和波图都是优秀的传球手,甚至博尔哈·马约拉尔也能进几个球。最近与塞维利亚的1:1平局太多了,这似乎也是今晚最有可能的结果,赫塔菲会对这个结果很满意,这是他们可以做到的。


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