In my opinion Newcastle have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Newcastle coming for this game with huge mental advantage as they won 3:0 in last match at this stadium!

Newcastle won 2 of last 3 matches on the road (they lost against Mariners - second place in league table). For sure they coming here without any fear. No absences for guests so coach Arthur Papas have opportunity to use the strongest possible line up.

MacArthur coming here after really painful 0:4 loss on away against Wanderers. For sure morale in team is on very low level. After 10 matches MacArthur recorded two points more than Newcastle, but their results looks better than really should. According to the expected goals scored/conceded models they should score 11.4 goals (instead of 13) and they should concede 19.8 (instead of 15!).

In addition to that hosts today going to play without best player (according to the ratings) Daniel De Silva and second-best scorer Lachlan Rose. That should have very bad impact on their performance today.

On those circumstances I see bigger chances for Newcastle than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，纽卡斯尔很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

纽卡斯尔带着巨大的精神优势来参加这场比赛，他们在上一场比赛中以3:0获胜!

纽卡斯尔在最近的3场客场比赛中赢了2场(他们输给了水手队——排名第二)。他们毫无畏惧地来到这里。没有客人缺席，所以教练亚瑟帕帕斯有机会使用最强的阵容。

麦克阿瑟在客场0:4惨败流浪者之后来到这里。可以肯定的是，团队的士气非常低。10场比赛过后，麦克阿瑟比纽卡斯尔多得两分，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。根据预期进球/失球模型，他们应该进11.4个球(而不是13个)，他们应该丢19.8个球(而不是15个!)

除此之外，东道主今天将没有最佳球员(根据收视率)丹尼尔·德席尔瓦和第二射手拉克兰·罗斯。这应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下，我认为纽卡斯尔的胜算比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。