Who will qualify into next round?!
2023-01-08

Przem

外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Stockport have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

Both teams played each other just 9 days in league game. Stockport recorded 2:0 on Walsall stadium and that was fully deserved result as they looked like a much better team. Without any shadow of doubt Stockport coming for this game with big mental advantage.

Currently Walsall is on higher position in League Two table than Stockport, but I'm sure at the end of the season Stockport will be much higher. Host's of today's game started season very slow, but now they are in great form - they won 4 of last 5 matches in all competitions (all of them with at least two goals margin). They lost in last round match on away Grimsby, but You can't winning all the time - they not played bad, but that was good, cold shower. Today I expect big reaction from the team. According to many statistics Stockport is one of the best team in League Two: only Leyton Orient kept more clean sheets than Stockport, only 5 teams have higher average ball possession, only 5 teams scored more goals, but Stockport have the biggest number of shots on target per game.

On the other hand Walsall results looks much better than really should. They scored 29 goals in 23 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 22.6. Walsall today should have big problems with goalscoring because their best scorer Danny Johnson left the club. He scored 50% of Walsall league goals.

On those circumstances I see really good chances for hosts to make win and get qualification into next round.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,斯托克波特有很大的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

两队在联赛中只交手了9天。斯托克波特在沃尔索尔球场的比分是2:0,这是完全应得的结果,因为他们看起来是一支更好的球队。毫无疑问,斯托克波特在这场比赛中占据了巨大的心理优势。

目前沃尔索尔在英乙积分榜上的位置高于斯托克波特,但我相信在赛季结束时斯托克波特的位置会更高。今天比赛的东道主在赛季开始时非常缓慢,但现在他们状态很好——他们在所有赛事中赢得了最近5场比赛中的4场(所有比赛都至少有2球的优势)。他们在上一轮的比赛中输给了客场的格里姆斯比,但你不可能一直赢,他们踢得不差,但那很好,冷水澡。今天我期待着球队的强烈反应。根据许多统计数据,斯托克波特是英乙中最好的球队之一:只有莱顿东方的零封率比斯托克波特高,只有5支球队的平均控球率比斯托克波特高,只有5支球队的进球数比斯托克波特高,但斯托克波特场均射正次数最多。

另一方面,沃尔萨尔结果看起来比实际情况要好得多。他们在23场比赛中打入29球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该打入22.6球。沃尔索尔今天在进球方面遇到了很大的问题,因为他们最好的得分手丹尼·约翰逊离开了俱乐部。沃尔索尔联赛50%的进球都是他的。

在这种情况下,我认为东道主很有机会取胜,并获得进入下一轮的资格。


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