Bournemouth VS Burnley

Bournemouth and Burnley lock horns in this English FA Cup 1/32-finals clash at Vitality Stadium late Saturday morning Beijing time. The hosts are totally out of form and I cannot agree with the biggest, often pretty smart bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers. These bookies see the hosts as favorites and offer odds of around 2.40-2.50 on them to win. In my view Burnley are narrow favorites. Bournemouth's problem is not only the decreased level of football overall after the World Cup break. A virus has swept through the team during the Christmas and New Year period and the squad situation ahead of this game is unclear.. Odds may change a lot after writing this Saturday morning Beijing time.. Which players were/are affected – and how sick they have been is not publicly known in detail. The virus has surely caused problems to their training programme as well.. 

Three of the four games where the squad were affected with the disease were against Newcastle, Chelsea and ManU. In their most recent match against ManU they had no chance at all and lost 0-3 in Manchester. ManU were of course clear favorites in this match on the betting market. The hosts recorded 2.99 in expected goals (xG)Bournemouth's number was just 0.54. On New Year's Eve they were lame against Crystal Palace who are not a particularly strong team as we could see when the visitors,Tottenham  crushed them 4-0 a few days ago! Even so, Palace recorded 1.92 in xG – Bournemouth managed just 0.83. The virus certainly does not explain everything and have clearly lowered their power rating -  that reflects the teams' pure class - after the ManU game.. The hosts have indeed struggled on their return to the first tier, and are now just a point above the relegation zone that all teams are afraid of.. After a decent run during Gary O'Neil's interim spell in charge of the team, ”the Cherries” have lost all the matches since the Englishman became the permanent manager. I thought it would have been a good thing but perhaps I have overestimated Gary's skills as a leader.. That remains to be seen.. Very important games against Brentford and Nottingham Forest are next in The Premier League and Bournemouth's focus is expected to be in avoiding relegation back to The Championship and heavy squad rotation is expected today. I am also not quite convinced if the hosts' players are 100% mentally - or physically - ready for this match as the chances of winning the cup are close to zero. Moreover, this is their third game in eight days and that's too much for professional football – especially for a team like Bournemouth with a pretty thin squad. fatigue is there with the hosts. A small edge for Burnley there as they have had four full days to prepare for this battle. The visitors' manager Kompany will likely rotate his squad but very probably less than O'Neil.

Kompany is a very talented manager and has a bright future ahead of him! Burnley are having an ultra-impressive season in The Championship and top the standings with 56 points in the bank! They have a score difference of 52:25 and will almost certainly be promoted back to The Premier League for the next season. They played there for years after having a season a bit too weak as a whole - but  especially too ineffective in offense - and a bit unlucky 2021-2022. They won 2-1 at Swansea City, not an easy place to play at, in their last game. They have won six games in a row in the Championship but lost to ManU in the EFL Cup on the 21th of December. However, ManU had a strong squad in this match and were priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies.. Yes, the hosts did deserve the win but Burnley even recorded more scoring attempts! They have an awesome team spirit and are very high in confidence which is always important when two pretty equal teams lock horns.

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伯恩茅斯VS伯恩利

北京时间周六上午晚些时候，英格兰足总杯1/32决赛伯恩茅斯和伯恩利在活力体育场上演了一场激烈的对决。主持人完全不在状态，我不同意那些规模最大、通常相当聪明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注。这些博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，并提供约2.40-2.50的赔率。在我看来，伯恩利夺冠的可能性很小。伯恩茅斯的问题不仅仅是世界杯后整体足球水平的下降。在圣诞和新年期间，一种病毒席卷了球队，比赛前的阵容情况尚不清楚。北京时间周六早上写完后，赔率可能会有很大变化。哪些球员受到了影响，他们的病情有多严重，这些细节都不为人知。这种病毒肯定也给他们的训练计划带来了问题。

在四场比赛中，有三场是对阵纽卡斯尔、切尔西和马努。在最近对阵马努的比赛中，他们根本没有机会，在曼彻斯特以0-3输掉了比赛。在这场比赛中，ManU在博彩市场上显然是最受欢迎的。东道主的预期进球数(xG)为2.99个，伯恩茅斯的预期进球数仅为0.54个。在新年前夜对阵水晶宫的比赛中，他们表现不佳，水晶宫并不是一支特别强大的球队，我们可以看到做客热刺的比赛。几天前以4比0击败了他们!尽管如此，皇宫队的xG成绩为1.92，伯恩茅斯队的xG成绩仅为0.83。病毒当然不能解释一切，而且显然降低了它们的功率等级。这反映了球队的水平——在与ManU的比赛之后。东道主在回归甲级联赛的过程中确实很艰难，现在只比所有球队都害怕的降级区高出一分。在加里·奥尼尔(Gary O'Neil)临时执教球队期间表现不错，但自从英国人成为永久主教练以来，“樱桃”输掉了所有比赛。我原以为这是一件好事，但也许我高估了加里的领导能力。这还有待观察。在接下来的英超联赛中，对布伦特福德和诺丁汉森林的比赛非常重要，伯恩茅斯的重点预计是保级回英冠，预计今天会有大量的阵容轮换。我也不太确信东道主的球员是否在精神上或身体上为这场比赛做好了100%的准备，因为赢得奖杯的机会接近于零。此外，这是他们在8天内的第三场比赛，这对职业足球来说太多了，尤其是对伯恩茅斯这样阵容薄弱的球队来说。东道主们都很疲惫。伯恩利的优势不大，因为他们已经为这场战斗准备了整整四天。客队主教练孔帕尼可能会轮换他的阵容，但很可能会比奥尼尔少。

孔帕尼是一个非常有天赋的教练，在他面前有一个光明的未来!伯恩利在英冠联赛中有一个非常令人印象深刻的赛季，并且以56分的积分榜第一!他们的比分差为52:25，几乎可以肯定他们将在下赛季升入英超联赛。他们在那里打了好几年，因为这个赛季整体上有点太弱了——但是 尤其是进攻效率太低——2021-2022年有点不走运。在最后一场比赛中，他们2-1战胜了斯旺西城，这不是一个轻松的地方。他们在英冠联赛中取得了六连胜，但在12月21日的EFL杯中输给了马努。然而，ManU在这场比赛中拥有强大的阵容，并被博彩公司定价为1.40左右。是的，东道主确实值得赢球，但伯恩利甚至记录了更多的进球尝试!他们有令人敬畏的团队精神和非常高的自信，这在两个相当旗鼓相当的团队发生冲突时总是很重要的。