Villarreal VS Real Madrid

Villarreal welcome Real Madrid for this LaLiga round 16 clash at Estadio de la Ceramica late Saturday evening Beijing time. All the football fans and bettors have every reason to expect a high-level match between these two very good teams! LaLiga is the second-best league on the planet in my view after The English Premier League. Most importantly, I see a lucrative match to bet on - we have done very well betting on this league! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that Real Madrid are the better team here. Let's take an in-depth look at them.. Real  are the reigning Spanish champions and also, quite surprisingly, also won the Champions League last May. They were underdogs against PSG, Manchester City and Liverpool in the Playoffs. Indeed, they needed quite a bit of luck Courtois's massive saves at critical moments to take the trophy! The Belgian is a super-good goalkeeper. However, mainly due to a massive number of trophies and several super stars in the team, Real are very often overvalued on the betting market.. They have tens of millions of fans, many of whom bet on them – even with low odds - and the bookmakers know this and also need to manage risk.. We have a reason to believe that they adjust the odds accordingly.. Real are having a good season and currently occupy the second place in the standings behind Barcelona. Real have taken 38 points but have also had luck on their side in several games this season. Indeed, in terms of expected points they would have deserved just 32.02 points! Moreover, They have scored 35 goals but the number of expected goals (xG) is just 32.03. 

Real's defense has been surprisingly shaky this season in LaLiga and at times in the UEFA Champions League as well. They have allowed 14 goals – eight more than Barcelona. They did win the Champions League group which was an easy one though.. However, they did not fully convince me - losing to Leipzig 2-3 and playing a draw against a pretty lowly Ukrainian club by Champions League standards, Shakhtar Donetsk, in Poland and scored the 1-1 goal late into the second half. Celtic, a horrible team from Scotland at this level, was the fourth team in the group. In their most recent match they took a somewhat crappy win away from home over Cacereno in a Copa Del Rey (Spanish Cup) game priced around 1.10 to win on the betting market. The hosts play in SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5. Yes, Real Madrid manager Ancelotti did rotate his squad but I still did not like their performance!  The hosts, a very small team compared to Real. Even so, the hosts even recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks! Before this they took a deserved win away from home as very clear favorites over Valladolid. They had to work hard though and Benzema opened the scoring no earlier than in the 83th minute and scored the last goal of the match as well in the 89th minute. Furthermore, before the World Cup break they did beat Cadiz, a pretty weak team, 2-1 at home but did not impress me at all. They did have 67% ball possession but Cadiz had their chances and recorded 10 scoring attempts and both teams had five shots on target. ”Los Blancos” recorded 2.02 in xG – Cadiz's number was also decent - 0.98.

Before the Cadiz game the visitors were very disappointing and lost to Rayo Vallecano 2-3 away from home and only managed two shots on goal – the hosts recorded seven! Real did have 55% ball possession but the hosts created more attacks and dangerous attacks. Villarreal have been strong at their stadium and have a very enthusiastic home crowd. The fans are a gigantic boost to  " The Yellow Submarine ''! They have lost just one match at home in LaLiga this season. Let's also remember that last season they beat mighty Bayern Munich, rulers of Germany, in the Champions League Play Offs 1-0 at home and played a draw in Munich and fought well against Liverpool despite losing 2-5 on aggregate last spring. In their most recent match they crushed FC Cartagena SAD 5-1 away from home in Copa Del Rey 1/16-finals. Before this they deservedly beat a dangerous team, Valencia (10th place) 2-1 at home recording 2.43 in xG – Valencia's number was 1.08. Real are priced around around 2.10 to win on the betting market and this is definitely too low! The hosts have a 64% chance of avoiding a defeat here. They have a very solid defense and have conceded just 11 goals in LaLiga! They are in 7th place with 24 points to their account but their xPTS is 25.34 and can improve further especially offensively. I expect them to be pretty cautious and well-organized here though. The goal expectancy here is, in my view, much lower than the bookmakers think. The probability for under 2.5 goals being scored is 49% Villarreal will be without Giovani Lo Celso  because of a hamstring problem.  Francis Coquelin's situation is questionable at the time of writing this preview early Saturday morning Beijing time..As for Real Madrid, Mariano Diaz is absent due to an ankle issue. Dani Carvajal is also out  so Lucas Vazquez is expected to start at right-back, with Alvaro Odriozola also out of the squad today. There had been some worries over Thibaut Courtois's situation but he is expected to play even if he is not quite 100% fit.. An interesting battle for fans to watch is Villarreal solid defender Juan Foyth against the fast and talented Vinícius who has not scored against Villarreal yet.

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比利亚雷亚尔VS皇家马德里

比利亚雷亚尔欢迎皇马参加北京时间周六晚上在陶瓷球场举行的西甲16轮比赛。所有的球迷和投注者都有充分的理由期待这两支强队之间的高水平比赛!在我看来，西甲是这个星球上仅次于英超的第二好联赛。最重要的是，我看到了一场有利可图的比赛——我们在这个联赛的赌注上做得很好!当然，毫无疑问，皇马在这里是一支更好的球队。让我们来深入研究一下。Real 他们是西班牙的卫冕冠军，而且，令人惊讶的是，他们也在去年五月赢得了欧冠冠军。他们在季后赛对阵巴黎圣日耳曼、曼城和利物浦时都处于劣势。事实上，他们需要相当多的运气，库尔图瓦在关键时刻的大量扑救才能拿到奖杯!比利时人是一名超级优秀的守门员。然而，主要由于球队中有大量的奖杯和几位超级球星，皇马在博彩市场上经常被高估。他们有数千万的粉丝，其中许多人在他们身上下注——即使赔率很低——博彩公司知道这一点，也需要管理风险。我们有理由相信他们会相应地调整胜率。皇马本赛季表现不错，目前排名第二，仅次于巴塞罗那。皇马已经拿到了38分，但在本赛季的几场比赛中运气也很好。事实上，就预期得分而言，他们只应该得到32.02分!此外，他们已经进了35个球，但预期进球数(xG)只有32.03个。

本赛季皇马的防守在西甲联赛和欧冠联赛中都出人意料地不稳定。他们已经失球14个，比巴萨多8个。他们确实赢得了欧冠小组，虽然很容易。然而，他们并没有完全说服我——2-3输给莱比锡，在波兰与一支以欧冠标准衡量相当低的乌克兰俱乐部顿涅茨克矿工队打平，并在下半场后半段攻入1-1的进球。凯尔特人，一支来自苏格兰的可怕球队，在这个级别上是小组第四名。在最近的一场西班牙国王杯(西班牙杯)比赛中，他们在客场击败了卡塞雷诺(Cacereno)，这是一场有点蹩脚的胜利，在博彩市场上的定价约为1.10欧元。东道主的比赛是第五组。是的，皇马主教练安切洛蒂确实轮换了他的阵容，但我仍然不喜欢他们的表现!与皇马相比，东道主是一支非常小的球队。即便如此，东道主甚至记录了更多的进球尝试、进攻和危险的进攻!在此之前，他们在客场对巴拉多利德取得了一场当之无愧的胜利。他们必须努力工作，本泽马在第83分钟为球队首开纪录，并在第89分钟打进了本场比赛的最后一个进球。此外，在世界杯前，他们确实在主场2-1击败了加的斯，一支相当弱的球队，但这并没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们确实有67%的控球率，但加的斯有机会，他们有10次得分尝试，两支球队都有5次射正。”“白衣军团”在xG中记录了2.02 -加的斯的数字也不错- 0.98。

在与加的斯的比赛之前，客队非常令人失望，在客场2-3输给了巴列卡诺，他们只射正了2次，而主队却射正了7次!皇马确实有55%的控球率，但东道主创造了更多的进攻和危险的进攻。比利亚雷亚尔在他们的球场上很强大，有非常热情的主场观众。粉丝们是一个巨大的推动力。”黄色潜水艇”!本赛季他们在西甲联赛中只在主场输掉了一场比赛。让我们也记住，上赛季他们在欧冠附加赛中主场1-0击败了强大的德国霸主拜仁慕尼黑，在慕尼黑打了一场平局，在去年春天与利物浦的比赛中表现出色，尽管总比分2-5负。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在1/16国王杯决赛中客场5-1大胜卡塔赫纳。在此之前，他们当之无愧地在主场2-1击败了一支危险的球队，瓦伦西亚(第10名)，xG为2.43，瓦伦西亚的数字为1.08。皇马在博彩市场上的定价在2.10左右，这肯定太低了!东道主有64%的机会避免在这里失败。他们的防守非常坚固，在西甲联赛中只丢了11球!他们以24分排名第七，但他们的xPTS是25.34，特别是在进攻端可以进一步提高。不过，我希望他们在这里会非常谨慎，组织得很好。在我看来，这里的预期进球比博彩公司认为的要低得多。进球少于2.5球的概率是49%比利亚雷亚尔将失去吉奥瓦尼·洛·塞尔索。因为腿筋有问题。在北京时间周六凌晨写这篇预告的时候，弗朗西斯·科奎林的情况还值得怀疑。至于皇马方面，马里亚诺·迪亚斯因为脚踝问题缺席了比赛。丹妮·卡瓦哈尔也退出了。卢卡斯·巴斯奎兹预计将首发右后卫，阿尔瓦罗·奥德里奥佐拉今天也没有出现在大名单中。库尔图瓦的情况有些令人担忧，但即使他还没有完全康复，他也有望上场比赛。对球迷来说，一场有趣的比赛是比利亚雷亚尔稳健的后卫胡安·福伊思对阵速度快、才华横溢的Vinícius 他还没有在比利亚雷亚尔的比赛中进球。