In my opinion Burnley have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

Burnley plays in Championship, but they are on good track to bounce back to Premier League at the end of the season. They are on first place in league table, already 14 points above third team so situation is comfortable and they can focus on good run in FA Cup. Burnley is in super form - they didn't lost in 24 of 26 league matches and they recorded 6 consecutive league wins. For sure their confidence is on the highest possible level. In addition to that, all key players like Brownhill, Maatsen or Harwood-Bellis are available, same as top scorers Rodriguez, Tella and Benson.

According to the many statistics, Bournemouth is the worst team in Premier League and without any shadow of doubt they are one of the biggest candidate to be relegated at the end of the season. Only two teams have higher expected goals conceded number, Bournemouth conceded the biggest number of goals. Only one team created less big chances to score than Bournemouth. Only two teams have less shots on target per game than Cherries. Bournemouth have the lowest expected goals scored number in Premier League. In addition to that today they are without key players like best player in team (according to the ratings) Tavernier and first goalkeeper Neto.

On those circumstances double chance on Burnley looks like superb bet.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，伯恩利有很好的机会在今天的比赛中避免输球。

伯恩利在英冠联赛中踢球，但他们在赛季结束后有望回到英超联赛。他们目前在积分榜上排名第一，已经比第三队高出14分，所以现在的情况很好，他们可以集中精力在足总杯上打出好成绩。伯恩利正处于超级状态——他们在26场联赛中有24场没有输球，并且取得了联赛6连胜。当然，他们的信心处于尽可能高的水平。除此之外，所有关键球员，如布朗希尔、马森或哈伍德-贝利斯，以及顶级得分手罗德里格斯、特拉和本森都可以上场。

根据许多统计数据，伯恩茅斯是英超最差的球队，毫无疑问，他们是赛季末降级的最大候选人之一。只有两支球队的预期失球数更高，伯恩茅斯的失球数最多。只有一支球队创造的得分机会比伯恩茅斯少。只有两支球队的场均射正次数比樱桃队少。伯恩茅斯的预期进球数在英超联赛中是最低的。除此之外，今天他们没有关键球员，比如球队最佳球员(根据收视率)塔维尼耶和第一门将内托。

在这种情况下，伯恩利的双重机会看起来是绝佳的赌注。