More PROFIT from Scotland? 苏超圣米伦VS哈茨
2023-01-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

苏超

01/07 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

St. Mirren vs Hearts

St. Mirren welcome Hearts for this Scottish Premiership round 21 clash at The SMISA Stadium in Paisley late Saturday evening Beijing time. However, in reality, the hosts have played just 18 games and Hearts 19 matches so far in this league. The biggest, often rather sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets see the visitors as the favorites here. I cannot agree with this and see the hosts as narrow favorites. The visitors have much more offensive power having scored 35 goals – St. Mirren have netted the ball 21 times so far. However, the hosts have a more solid defense. Indeed, they have allowed just 25 goals. Hearts have had surprisingly many defensive problems this season and have conceded 30 goals! This is clearly more than Motherwell (27) who are currently in 10th place! Even so, Hearts are currently in 3 place and are slightly better by pure class. However, St. Mirren have been very strong at home in front of their loyal and loud fans who offer a massive boost to the hosts! They have lost just one game at The SMISA Stadium in this league so far this season and have a home score difference of 14:7! I believe the betting market does not give enough emphasis to this factor! Hearts have taken 31 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 28.67. They were good in their most recent match and beat Hibernians and beat Hibernian 3-0 at home but the final score massively flatters them. They had 51% ball possession but the visitors even recorded more scoring attempts (14-9), attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 69-25. Away from home they have suffered four losses, taken one draw and one win in their most recent games.

St. Mirren have grabbed 26 points so far but theut xPTS is 28.44. Their goal difference is clearly better than that of the hosts. They have netted the ball 21 times and allowed 25 goals but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is just 23.32. I was happy with their most recent performance against Kilmarnock as slim underdogs according to the bookmakers. Their player E. Erhahon was sent off already in the 7th minute through a direct red card which of course made the match very difficult for them. Even so, they defended in a well-structured way and showed great fighting spirit. Kilmarnock only managed three shots on goal.I was, however, not convinced by their performance before the Kilmarnock game despite taking a point away from home against Livingston. The hosts' S. Pittman was sent off in the 24th minute but St. Mirren were ineffective offensively with the one man advantage.. In the 55th minute their player O'Hara got a red card though. In the end Livingston recorded 53% ball possession and more total passes, completed passes and dangerous attacks. Both teams had the same number of attacks and shots on goal – St. Mirren did record more goal attempts though. Before this they beat Aberdeen. It was an excellent 3-1 home win and they even missed two penalties! However, I need to mention that Aberdeen's A. Stewart was sent off in the 35th minute though. Indeed, at their stadium they look confident and aim at being aggressive offensively putting pressure on the opponent's defense.

St. Mirren have not lost any of their most recent five games! Before beating Aberdeen the hosts were very good and grabbed a point against Rangers through a 1-1 draw at home! Rangers, currently 2nd in the standings, were huge favorites in this game, priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies. Yes, Rangers were the better team but by no means dominant! St. Mirren managed to record a record as good number of scoring attempts – 10- St Mirren will be without midfielder Ethan Erhahon because of the red card he received at Rugby Park on Monday. R. Tait is injured and out once again. As for Hearts goalkeeper Craig Gordon is out for the rest of the season due to a broken leg. Beni Baningime and Liam Boyce will also not be able to play due to cruciate ligament issues. Furthermore, Gary Mackay-Steven is absent due to a foot knock. Peter Haring's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

圣米伦vs红心

< / p > < p >。北京时间周六晚些时候,米伦在佩斯利SMISA球场欢迎哈茨队参加苏格兰超级联赛第21轮的比赛。然而事实上,到目前为止,主队在联赛中只踢了18场比赛,而红心队只踢了19场比赛。最大的,通常相当精明的博彩公司接受最大的赌注,把游客视为最受欢迎的人。我不同意这种说法,我认为东道主的可能性很小。客队的进攻能力更强,他们已经进了35球——圣米伦到目前为止已经进了21球。然而,东道主的防守更为稳固。事实上,他们只丢了25个球。哈茨本赛季的防守出现了惊人的问题,丢了30个球!这显然超过了目前排名第10位的马瑟韦尔(27)!即便如此,红心目前排在3位,纯职业稍微好一点。然而,圣米伦在主场的表现非常强大,在他们忠诚而吵闹的球迷面前,他们为东道主提供了巨大的助力!本赛季到目前为止,他们在SMISA体育场只输了一场比赛,主场比分差为14:7!相信博彩市场并没有对这个因素给予足够的重视!红心到目前为止已经获得了31分,但是他们的期望点数(xPTS)只有28.67。他们在最近的比赛中表现出色,在主场以3-0击败了爱尔兰人,但最终的比分大大恭维了他们。他们有51%的控球率,但客队甚至记录了更多的得分尝试(14-9),攻击,尤其是危险的攻击- 69-25。在最近的几场比赛中,他们在客场遭遇了4场失利,1平1胜。

圣米伦到目前为止已经拿到了26分,但xPTS是28.44。他们的净胜球明显多于东道主。他们已经破门21次,失球25个,但失球数(xGA)只有23.32个。根据博彩公司的说法,他们最近对阵基尔马诺克的表现让我很高兴。他们的球员E. Erhahon在第7分钟就被红牌罚下,这当然让比赛变得非常艰难。尽管如此,他们的防守结构很好,表现出了伟大的战斗精神。基尔马诺克只射门三次。然而,我并不相信他们在与基尔马诺克的比赛前的表现,尽管他们在客场与利文斯顿的比赛中拿到了一分。主队的皮特曼在第24分钟被罚下,但圣米伦队在一人优势的情况下进攻不力。在第55分钟,他们的球员奥哈拉得到了一张红牌。最后,利文斯顿记录了53%的控球率,更多的总传球,完成传球和危险进攻。两支球队的进攻次数和射门次数相同,但圣米伦队的射门次数更多。在此之前,他们打败了阿伯丁。这是一场出色的主场3-1胜利,他们甚至罚丢了两个点球!然而,我需要提到的是,阿伯丁的A.斯图尔特在第35分钟被罚下。事实上,在他们的球场上,他们看起来很自信,并以积极的进攻为目标,给对手的防守施加压力。

圣米伦在最近的五场比赛中没有输过!在击败阿伯丁之前,东道主表现非常出色,并在主场1-1战平流浪者拿到一分!目前排名第二的游骑兵队在这场比赛中是最大的热门,博彩公司对获胜的定价约为1.40美元。是的,游骑兵队是更好的球队,但绝不是统治球队!圣米伦成功地创造了进球次数的记录——10次——圣米伦将失去中场伊森·埃尔哈洪,因为他周一在橄榄球公园吃到红牌。r。泰特又一次受伤了。至于红心队门将克雷格·戈登由于腿骨折将缺席本赛季余下的比赛。贝尼·巴宁吉梅和利亚姆·博伊斯也将因为十字韧带的问题缺席比赛。此外,加里·麦凯-史蒂文也因为脚碰伤缺席比赛。在撰写本文时,彼得·哈林的情况尚不清楚。


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