Raith vs Dundee

Raith and Dundee FC lock horns in this Scottish Championship battle at Stark's Park in Kirkcaldy early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Scottish football and the level is not very high by European standards. Even so, we have an interesting match to bet on here. The biggest bookmakers that offer the largest betting limits for their customers see Dundee as clear favorites. The visitors are priced around 2.05-2.10 to win – at least at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time. However, I would not be surprised to see the odds on Raith to drop before the kick off as smart money should pile up on the hosts. Dundee FC were relegated from The Premiership after a very  weak last season. Indeed they were clearly the worst team in the 1st tier recording just 29 points - six points less than St. Johnstone. Their season so far has been slightly disappointing despite occupying the second place in the standings with a total of 34 points to their account. Their defense has been clearly more leaky than I estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis and have updated my power rating -  that illustrated the teams' pure class - accordingly.  Indeed, they have conceded 24 goals – that's five more than Morton in 4th place. Their defenders make quite a few stupid mistakes and sometimes look a little lazy or arrogant – underestimating especially the lowly teams' offensive players.. The hosts have a quite solid defense and have allowed just two goals more than Dundee. Dundee do have an edge in all areas of the game but definitely smaller than the betting market thinks! They deserve to be the favorites - even taking into account the substantial home advantage – but only very narrow. The smart bet here is to side with Raith with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The chance of winning is 64%.

Raith are having a pretty good season and currently occupy the 6th place with 27 points in the bank and have a score difference of 25:26. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 29.11 points. Dundee's xPTS is 32.78. Last season Raith finished in 5th place with 50 points and have potential for improvement!  They should be a little more aggressive putting more pressure on the opponent's defense. Perhaps buying a new, creative striker would be a good idea as well.. Dundee were extremely disappointing in their most recent match losing to a pretty lowly team, Arbroath, who currently occupy the 9th place in this league with a total of 10 clubs with just 17 points. 2-4 was the final score for the visitors who were priced around 7.50 to win in the betting market! Dundee's B. Williamson was sent off in the 30th minute but the visitors already had a 2-0 lead at this point! Arbroath has 51% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on target and attacks. Before this they beat Ayr 2-0 away from home priced around 2.25 by the bookies to win. They were the better team but the final score still does flatter them. Raith, on the other hand, beat Hamilton 1-0 away from home in their most recent game. They were not at their best but did deserve the win after recording 55% ball possession and more shots on goal (6-2) and goal attempts – 13-6. Hamilton are not a strong team though. The hosts are undefeated in four of their latest matches and the most recent loss (0-1) happened on the 8th of December 2022 in a friendly against Hibernian, who play in the Premiership. Raith's performance was okay as a whole in this low-tempo game.

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Raith vs Dundee

北京时间周六凌晨，莱斯队和邓迪队在柯克考迪的斯塔克公园进行了一场苏格兰冠军争夺战。这是苏格兰足球的第二梯队，按照欧洲的标准，这一水平并不高。即便如此，我们还有一场有趣的比赛要赌。最大的博彩公司为他们的客户提供最大的投注限额，他们认为邓迪显然是最受欢迎的。至少在北京时间周五晚上写这篇文章的时候，访客的价格在2.05-2.10左右。然而，我不会惊讶于Raith的赔率会在开球前下降，因为聪明的钱应该会堆积在东道主身上。邓迪足球俱乐部在经历了一场非常激烈的比赛后从英超降级。上赛季很弱。事实上，他们显然是第一梯队中最差的球队，只有29分，比圣约翰斯通少6分。本赛季到目前为止，他们的表现有些令人失望，尽管他们以34分的总分占据了积分榜第二的位置。他们的防守明显比我在季前赛深度分析中估计的更有漏洞，我更新了我的能量评级- 这说明了球队的纯粹阶级——相应地。事实上，他们已经丢了24个球，比排名第四的莫顿多了5个。他们的后卫犯了很多愚蠢的错误，有时看起来有点懒惰或傲慢——低估了尤其是低水平球队的进攻球员。东道主的防守相当稳固，只比邓迪多丢了两个球。邓迪确实在比赛的所有领域都有优势，但肯定比博彩市场认为的要小!他们理应成为最受欢迎的球队——即使考虑到巨大的主场优势——但也只是非常微弱的优势。聪明的赌注是与Raith一起+0.5个进球的障碍选项。中奖几率为64%。

雷斯本赛季表现相当不错，目前以27分的积分榜上排名第6，积分差距为25:26。然而，就预期得分(xPTS)而言，他们应该获得29.11分。邓迪的xPTS是32.78。上赛季Raith以50分的成绩排在第五位，他还有提升的潜力!他们应该更积极一点，给对手的防守施加更大的压力。也许买一个新的，有创造力的前锋也是一个好主意。邓迪在最近的一场比赛中非常令人失望，他们输给了一支相当低的球队，阿布罗思，目前在本联赛中排名第九，共有10家俱乐部，仅积17分。2-4是游客的最终比分，他们在博彩市场上被定价为7.50左右。邓迪队的b·威廉姆森在第30分钟被罚下，但客队此时已经2-0领先!阿布罗斯拥有51%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射正次数和进攻次数。在此之前，他们在客场2-0击败了Ayr，博彩公司定价约为2.25英镑。他们是更好的球队，但最终的比分仍然使他们高兴。另一方面，Raith在他们最近的比赛中客场1-0击败了汉密尔顿。他们并没有处于最佳状态，但在55%的控球率和更多的射门次数(6-2)和13-6的射门次数之后，他们确实应该赢得这场胜利。不过汉密尔顿并不是一支强队。东道主在最近的四场比赛中保持不败，最近的一场输球(0-1)发生在2022年12月8日对阵英超爱尔兰人的友谊赛中。Raith在这款低节奏游戏中的整体表现还可以。