In my opinion Perth have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Perth have huge mental advantage as they didn't lost at home against Wanderers in last 10 league matches in a row!

Perth now is on last place in league table, but they plays better than results shows. According to the expected goals conceded model - Perth have 5th best defensive formation in whole league (only 4 teams had lower expected goals conceded number so far). 7 of 9 matches Perth played on away. It's huge difference because at home they made 4 points in first two matches. In last round they lost 0:2 on away against 4th Adelaide, but that was very close match: expected goals scored for Adelaide 1.25, for Perth 1.15. They have all required tools to avoid loss at home again

Wanderers overperforming. In current season they conceded 7 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 10.5. It's big difference at this stage of the season. Also they are not strong team on away. It's very visible if You look on the bigger picture - Wanderers failed to win in 24 of last 31 away league matches. They not deserved to be so big favorite in this game.

I see really good value on home side here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，珀斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

珀斯有巨大的精神优势，因为他们在最近10场联赛中没有在主场输给流浪者!

珀斯现在在积分榜上排名最后，但是他们的表现比结果显示的要好。根据预期失球模型，珀斯的防守阵型在整个联赛中排名第五(到目前为止只有4支球队的预期失球数低于珀斯)。珀斯队9场比赛中有7场在客场进行。这是一个巨大的差异，因为他们在主场的前两场比赛中得到了4分。在上一轮比赛中，他们0:2在客场输给了第四名阿德莱德，但那是一场非常接近的比赛:阿德莱德的预期进球数为1.25，珀斯为1.15。他们都有必要的工具，以避免在家里再次损失

< / p > < p >流浪者偏离剧本表演。本赛季他们丢了7球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该丢10.5球。在赛季的这个阶段，这是很大的不同。他们也不是客场的强队。如果你从大局来看，这是非常明显的——流浪者在过去31场客场比赛中有24场没有赢球。他们不应该在这场比赛中如此受欢迎。

我在这里看到了很好的价值。