It's going to be a huge night in the NBA as 12 games are going to happen. One of the last games is going to happen in Los Angeles where the local Lakers are going to host Miami Heat. After 37 games played, the Lakers have 16 wins, 21 losses and the 13th place in the Western Conference while Miami has 20 wins, 18 losses and the 7th place in the Eastern Conference. In this game, I'm taking the Heat.

The Lakers have returned from the 5th game road trip where they got 3 wins and 1 of the losses was in Miami. Now they are back in Los Angeles where they have 2 wins and 2 losses in the last 4 games. If we are looking from an advanced stats perspective, the Lakers have the 17th-best offense (113.6), the 13th-best defense (110.4) and the 16th-best net rating (3.3).

The Heat are currently on 5 game road trip, and this is their 4th game. They started the trip with a loss in Denver but they have beaten the Jazz and the Clippers. Their performance on the road has been good as they have 6 wins in the last 7 games. Advanced stats show that Miami has only the 25th-best offense on the road (108.8) but the 2nd-best defense (110) and the 8th-best net rating (-1.2).

One of the reasons why Miami has been successful lately is health. Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry and Bam Adebayo haven't missed a lot of games recently and that gives results. Only Dewayne Dedmon and Udonis Haslem are questionable for the Heat while the Lakers have way bigger concerns. Anthony Davis is out for some while and LeBron James won't play tonight as well. Without James and Davis, it's hard to see who's going to score points. It could be a big night for Russell Westbrook but he's not the player who could lead his team to a victory.

The Lakers aren't the best team at covering the spread at home as they have done it only 7 times out of 16. It's a little bit better situation for the Heat as they have covered the spread on the road in 8 out of 18 games. Both teams have rested 1 day prior to this game, and this has been better for Miami as they have covered the spread in 50% of the games after an equal rest while the Lakers have done it just 37% of the time.

Last week, Miami won over the Lakers by 14 points. James was the leading scorer for the Lakers with 27 points but the next best scorer was Dennis Schroder who got only 15 points. As I wrote previously, scoring is going to be a problem for Los Angeles. Without him and Davis, the Lakers have lost the only game but without just James, Los Angeles has lost 4 out of 7 games. I'm more than sure that this trend will continue tonight.

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这将是NBA重要的一晚，因为接下来将有12场比赛。最后一场比赛将在洛杉矶举行，当地的湖人队将主场迎战迈阿密热火队。经过37场比赛，湖人取得16胜21负，排名西部第13位，迈阿密热火取得20胜18负，排名东部第7位。在这场比赛中，我要拿下热火队。

湖人队刚刚结束了第五场客场之旅，他们在迈阿密取得了3胜1负的战绩。现在他们回到了洛杉矶，在过去的4场比赛中他们取得了2胜2负的战绩。如果我们从高级数据的角度来看，湖人拥有第17位的最佳进攻(113.6)，第13位的最佳防守(110.4)和第16位的最佳净效率(3.3)。

热火目前有5场客场之旅，这是他们的第4场比赛。他们在客场输给掘金，但他们已经击败了爵士和快船。他们在客场的表现很好，在过去7场比赛中取得了6场胜利。高级数据显示，迈阿密在客场的进攻(108.8分)排名第25，防守(110分)排名第二，净效率(-1.2分)排名第8。

迈阿密近来如此成功的原因之一是健康。吉米·巴特勒，凯尔·洛瑞和巴姆·阿德巴约最近没有错过太多比赛，这给了他们结果。只有德韦恩·戴德蒙和乌多尼斯·哈斯勒姆在热火有问题，而湖人有更大的担忧。安东尼·戴维斯缺阵一段时间，勒布朗·詹姆斯今晚也不会上场。没有詹姆斯和戴维斯，很难看出谁能得分。对于拉塞尔·威斯布鲁克来说，这可能是一个重要的夜晚，但他不是那个能够带领球队取得胜利的球员。

湖人并不是主场防守最好的球队，因为他们在16场比赛中只做到了7次。这对热火来说是一个好一点的情况，因为他们在18场比赛中有8场在客场。两支球队在比赛前都休息了一天，这对迈阿密来说更好，因为他们在同样的休息时间后，有50%的比赛是在覆盖范围内，而湖人只有37%的时间是在覆盖范围内。

上周，迈阿密以14分的优势战胜了湖人。詹姆斯是湖人队的头号得分手，得到27分，但其次是丹尼斯·施罗德，他只得到15分。正如我之前所写的，得分对湖人来说将是一个问题。没有他和戴维斯，湖人输掉了唯一一场比赛，但没有詹姆斯，湖人已经输掉了7场比赛中的4场。我敢肯定今晚这种趋势还会继续。