In my opinion Manchester City is clear favorite of today's match up and they have all required tools to make 3 points.

Manchester City coming to Stamford Bridge with huge mental advantage as they won last two league matches in a row at this stadium. Citizens won 7 of last 10 Premier League matches against Chelsea. Team from Manchester won last 3 consecutive matches against Chelsea in competitions and even not conceded a single goal during that run.

Guests manager Pep Guardiola won 22 of 34 away Premier League matches in London. His team coming here in good form , they won against Liverpool and Leeds after the break - scored 3 goals in each game, but they are very motivated to bounce back on good track today. In last round they failed to win at home against Everton (1:1), but that really shouldn't happened: expected goals scored for City 1.79, for Everton 0.09. Obviously, City have huge offensive firepower - their striker Haaland is almost unstoppable (he scored more goals than whole Chelsea team). On the the other hand Citizens defensive formation produced the lowest expected goals conceded number in whole league (conceded 16, but according to the model they should 12).

Chelsea have big problems at both end of the pitch - in last 6 matches in all competitions they failed to score in 4 matches (they scored only against relegation material teams: Nottingham & Bournemouth). Defensive formation don't have any stability as they conceded at least one goal in 9 of last 10 matches in all competitions so it's hard to imagine clean sheet for them also today, especially with so many unavailable defensive players: defenders Fofana, Chilwell, James and defensive midfielders Kante & Loftus-Cheek.

City is able to keep clean sheet, but they are also able to score more than one goal here so away win looks like great bet for me.

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在我看来，曼城在今天的比赛中是最受欢迎的，他们有所有必要的工具来得到3分。

曼城带着巨大的心理优势来到斯坦福桥，他们在这个球场连续赢下了两场联赛。公民队在过去10场对阵切尔西的比赛中赢了7场。来自曼彻斯特的球队在比赛中连续3次战胜切尔西，甚至没有丢过一球。

客队主帅瓜迪奥拉在伦敦赢得了34场客场英超比赛中的22场。他的球队以良好的状态来到这里，他们在中场休息后赢了利物浦和利兹联，每场比赛都进了3球，但他们非常有动力在今天的良好轨道上反弹。上一轮他们未能在主场1:1战胜埃弗顿，但这真的不应该发生:曼城的预期进球数为1.79，埃弗顿为0.09。显然，曼城拥有强大的进攻火力——他们的前锋哈兰德几乎是不可阻挡的(他的进球数比切尔西全队都多)。另一方面，公民队的防守阵型是整个联赛中预期失球最少的(失球16个，但根据模型应该是12个)。

切尔西在球场的两端都有很大的问题——在最近6场比赛中，他们在所有赛事中有4场比赛没有进球(他们只在对阵保级球队时进球:诺丁汉&伯恩茅斯)。他们的防守阵型没有任何稳定性，在过去的10场比赛中，他们有9场比赛至少丢了一个球，所以很难想象他们今天也能零失球，尤其是在有这么多防守球员无法上场的情况下:后卫福法纳、奇尔韦尔、詹姆斯和防守型中场坎特。Loftus-Cheek。

曼城能够保持零失球，但他们也能够在这里打进不止一个球，所以客场取胜对我来说是一个很好的赌注。