Odds should be the opposite here.

Yesterday we had a similar match: a top team from 2nd division and title contender - Levante, against a relegation team from La Liga - Getafe. In that game Levante was favorite and won 3:2. This match is exactly the same so Alabes should be slightly favorite due to home factor.

Alaves is a very strong team from the 2nd division, with the target of promotion in the top2 without playoff. We must remember that they were relegated from La Liga last season, so they have a strong squad and big budget.

Two starters (Sylla and Sedlar) have been confirmed by the coach as starters, because they are suspended in the league. The rest of lineup will be mixed with some reserves and starters.

At home they are a very strong team. In La Liga and second division, they are a classic strong home team with lot of pace and intensity.

On the other hand, Valladolid is also focused in the league. They are close to relegation and they don’t care about the Cup too much. Coach has announced rotations, so we will see a mixed squad too.

Several players ended exhausted the game against Real Madrid at the weekend, which was very demanding physically. Key players like Roque Mesa, Aguado or Fresneda surely will rest, while Escudero, Anuar and Olaza won’t travel.

Valladolid has an important game at the weekend against Mallorca, so surely the club and players will be thinking in that one.

This will be a very equal game. In spite of the league difference, the real level of both squads is almost the same, as we saw yesterday in a similar game between Levante and Getafe. This added to the home factor makes me see Alaves favorite here.

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这里的概率应该正好相反。

昨天我们有一场类似的比赛:一支来自乙级联赛的顶级球队和冠军争夺者莱万特，对阵一支来自西甲的降级球队赫塔菲。在那场比赛中，莱万特最受欢迎，并以3:2获胜。这场比赛是完全一样的，所以由于主场因素，阿莱斯应该是最受欢迎的。

阿拉维斯是一支来自乙级联赛的强队，目标是在没有季后赛的情况下晋级前2。我们必须记住，他们上赛季从西甲降级，所以他们有强大的阵容和庞大的预算。

两名首发球员(西拉和塞德拉)已经被教练确认为首发，因为他们在联赛中被禁赛。其余的阵容将由一些替补球员和先发球员组成。

在主场他们是一支非常强大的球队。在西甲和乙级联赛中，他们是一支经典的强队，有着很高的速度和强度。

另一方面，巴利亚多利德也专注于联赛。他们已经接近降级，他们并不太在乎杯赛。教练已经宣布了轮换阵容，所以我们也会看到一个混合阵容。

几名球员在周末对阵皇马的比赛中筋疲力尽，这对身体的要求非常高。像梅萨、阿瓜多和弗雷内达这样的关键球员肯定会休息，而埃斯库德罗、阿努亚尔和奥拉扎将不会出差。

巴利亚多利德周末有一场重要的比赛对阵马洛卡，所以俱乐部和球员肯定会考虑那场比赛。

这将是一场势均力敌的比赛。尽管联赛不同，但两支球队的实际水平几乎相同，正如我们昨天在莱万特和赫塔菲之间看到的类似比赛。加上主场因素，我认为阿拉维斯最喜欢这里。