The WINNINSG continues?
2023-01-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

英超

01/05 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Southampton VS Nottingham Forest

Southampton welcome Nottingham for this for this English Premier League round 19 battle at St. Mary's Stadium early Thursday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played 17 matches so far in this league. This is the best league on the planet but unfortunately this match most probably will not offer world-class entertainment experience for football fans. However, I have spotted once again, a promising betting opportunity here – and that's what my fans and I are interested in after all! The stakes are high as both teams are having a difficult season and will almost certainly have to fight very hard right until the end of the season in May to avoid relegation. I would be surprised to see the visitors avoiding a return to the Championship.. I see them as the worst team in this league in my power rating that illustrates the teams' pure class. They have bought a massive number of new players for this season but the results have been a big disappointment. They are sometimes capable of playing pretty well – but only at home in front of very enthusiastic fans who are a massive boost for them. For example on the 22 of October 2022 they beat Liverpool 1-0 but we must remember that Liverpool are quite an erratic team these days and their level has dropped surprisingly much from last season. On the road Nottingham have a horribly bad team this season and have lost six of the eight games this season. Moreover their score difference is almost hilariously terrible – 1:22! Their defense away from home has been totally unstructured and the defenders seem to lack individual skills needed at this level – especially when the opponent puts a lot of pressure on them.. 

The visitors  surely have a chance to take points against the disappointing Southampton here but the hosts  still have a 56% chance to win. The biggest bookmakers with the largest stake limits offer odds of around 2.05-2.10 - a lucrative bet indeed! I believe the odds too heavily affected by the visitors' most recent game last Sunday. It was a possible performance at home against Chelsea as very clear underdogs. However, Chelsea have been playing far from their best level this season and currently occupy the 9th place with 25 points to their account. They played another bad game last Sunday. Even so, the visitors recorded a 72% ball possession and more in expected goals (xG)1.53-0.89. I also want to mention that having just two full days between games is far from optimal in professional football. Indeed, this factor must be given enough emphasis here! Southampton were okay last Saturday despite losing 1-2 to a surprisingly good Fulham (8th). Fulham did record more in expected in xG though 1.35-0.86 but scored the winning goal late into the second half. They are the rock-bottom team with 12 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is massively higher  -  20.24! Let's not let the standings fool us! Their score difference of 15:32 is better than that of Nottingham and they have an edge in all areas of the game!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

南安普顿VS诺丁汉森林

南安普顿欢迎诺丁汉队参加北京时间周四凌晨在圣玛丽球场举行的英超第19轮比赛。然而,事实上两支球队到目前为止都在联赛中打了17场比赛。这是地球上最好的联赛,但不幸的是,这场比赛很可能无法为球迷提供世界级的娱乐体验。然而,我再次发现了一个很有希望的投注机会——这就是我的粉丝和我都感兴趣的地方!这两支球队都经历了一个艰难的赛季,几乎可以肯定,他们必须非常努力地战斗到5月赛季结束才能保级。如果客队避免重返英冠,我会感到惊讶。在我的实力评分中,我认为他们是联盟中最差的球队,这说明了这支球队的纯粹水平。本赛季他们购买了大量的新球员,但结果令人失望。他们有时有能力踢得很好,但只有在主场,面对热情的球迷,他们才能获得巨大的鼓舞。例如,在2022年10月22日,他们1-0击败了利物浦,但我们必须记住,利物浦现在是一支相当不稳定的球队,他们的水平比上赛季惊人地下降了很多。在客场,诺丁汉本赛季是一支非常糟糕的球队,在本赛季的8场比赛中输了6场。此外,他们的比分差得几乎是可怕的——1:22!他们在客场的防守完全没有组织,后卫们似乎缺乏这种级别的个人技术,尤其是当对手对他们施加很大压力的时候。

从而,visitors 我们当然有机会在对阵令人失望的南安普顿的比赛中拿分,但是东道主;还有56%的机会赢。最大的博彩公司和最大的赌注限制提供大约2.05-2.10的赔率,这确实是一个有利可图的赌注!我认为客队上周日的比赛对胜率影响太大了。在主场对阵明显处于劣势的切尔西时,这是一种可能的表现。然而,切尔西本赛季的表现远远没有达到他们的最佳水平,目前他们以25分的成绩排在第9位。上周日他们又打了一场糟糕的比赛。即便如此,客队的控球率为72%,预期进球数(xG)为1.53-0.89。我还想提到的是,在职业足球中,只有整整两天的比赛间隔并不是最理想的。的确,这个因素在这里必须给予足够的重视!南安普顿上周六表现还不错,尽管1-2输给了表现惊人的富勒姆(第八名)。富勒姆在xG中以1.35-0.86的比分取得了预期的成绩,但在下半场后半段打进了制胜球。他们以12分排名垫底,但他们的期望得分(xPTS)要高得多。安康;20.24 !不要让排名欺骗了我们!他们15:32的比分差比诺丁汉好,他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势!


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