In my opinion Arsenal have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

It's must play bet for me - Arsenal have incredible streak at home against Newcastle as they won 10 of last 11 matches in all competitions against them.

Arsenal in current season looks amazing at home - they won all 7 league matches, scored 22 goals and conceded 8 (according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 5.74). They coming here full of confidence as they recorded two big wins after the break (against West Ham at home and Brighton on away). In both matches Arsenal played great in offense - 7 goals scored, in each game expected goals scored number above 2.19. Now they really looks like material for the title at the end of the season, team is fresh and ready to go. I trust them.

Newcastle didn't lost in 7 of 8 away matches so far, but their results looks better than really should. They scored 15 goals on the road, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.98. They conceded 6 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 10.02. It's big difference. Obviously, Newcastle plays great season, but like I said in my last bet against them - this is something new for players to play under huge pressure with big expectations. They failed to win in last round at home against Leeds and for sure they not coming here full of confidence.

Newcastle manager Eddie Howe lost all 6 away matches against Arsenal in his managerial career. In addition to that Newcastle lost 7 of last 10 opening matches of calendar year. On those circumstances Arsenal looks like very good to play here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，阿森纳有很大的机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

这对我来说是一场赌博——阿森纳在主场对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中取得了不可思议的连胜，他们在过去的11场比赛中赢了10场。

本赛季阿森纳在主场的表现令人惊叹——他们7场联赛全胜，进22球丢8球(根据预期进球数模型，他们应该丢5.74球)。他们满怀信心来到这里，因为他们在中场休息后取得了两场大胜(主场对阵西汉姆，客场对阵布莱顿)。在这两场比赛中，阿森纳在进攻端表现出色——进了7球，每场比赛的预期进球数都在2.19以上。现在他们看起来真的很有可能在赛季结束后夺冠，这支球队很有活力，准备好了。我相信他们。

到目前为止，纽卡斯尔在8场客场比赛中没有输掉7场，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。他们在客场打进了15球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该得到11.98球。他们丢了6球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢10.02球。差别很大。很明显，纽卡斯尔本赛季表现出色，但就像我上次打赌对阵他们时所说的那样——对球员来说，在巨大的压力和巨大的期望下比赛是一件新鲜的事情。他们在上一轮主场对阵利兹联的比赛中没能获胜，当然他们也不会满怀信心来到这里。

纽卡斯尔主帅埃迪·豪在他的执教生涯中6次客场对阵阿森纳都输了。除此之外，纽卡斯尔在过去10场揭幕战中输掉了7场。在这种情况下，阿森纳看起来很适合在这里比赛。