In my opinion Brentford have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1 or more safe +1.5 AH looks like great bet to play here.

In previous season match between both teams at this stadium finished with draw 3:3. Brentford have really good streak in opening match of the new calendar year as they won last 3 in a row. On the other hand Liverpool failed to win in 6 of last 8 opening matches of the year. In overall January is the worst month for Liverpool since Jurgen Klopp is on their bench - they won only 47% of January's matches (23 out of 49).

According to the expected goals scored/conceded models Brentford have all required tools to make big problems for Liverpool. Brentford didn't lost in 7 of 8 home matches so far. They scored 15 goals and it's deserved outcome (14.80 expected goals scored). On the other hand Liverpool failed to win in 5 of 7 away matches. They conceded 10 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede 13.43.

Brentford coming here full of confidence - they played two London derbies after the break (against Spurs & Hammers) and made 4 points in the process, scored more than one goal in each game.

Liverpool conceded at least one goal in 10 of last 11 away matches in all competitions. Brentford striker Ivan Toney looks awesome at home as he scored 12 goals and made 4 assists in last 19 Premier League matches at home. He will be very hard to stop also today.

Brentford should be able to score and that should be enough to cover this high HC line.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，布伦特福德有很好的机会在今天的比赛中避免大的损失。+1或更多安全+1.5 AH看起来是一个不错的赌注。

上个赛季两队在这个球场的比赛以3:3战平。布伦特福德在新日历年的首场比赛中表现非常好，他们在过去的3场比赛中取得了连胜。另一方面，利物浦在过去的8场揭幕战中有6场没有赢球。总的来说，自从克洛普在板凳上以来，一月是利物浦最糟糕的一个月——他们只赢了47%的比赛(49场比赛中的23场)。

根据预期进球数和失球数模型，布伦特福德拥有给利物浦制造大麻烦所需的所有工具。到目前为止，布伦特福德在8场主场比赛中有7场没有输球。他们进了15球，这是当之无愧的结果(14.80个预期进球)。另一方面，利物浦在7场客场比赛中有5场没有赢球。他们丢了10个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该丢13.43个球。

布伦特福德满怀信心来到这里——他们在休息后踢了两场伦敦德比(对阵热刺和amp;在这个过程中，他得到了4分，每场比赛都进了不止一个球。

在过去的11场比赛中，利物浦在10场比赛中至少丢了1球。布伦特福德前锋伊万·托尼在主场表现出色，他在过去19场英超主场比赛中打进12球并送出4次助攻。今天也很难阻止他。

布伦特福德应该能够得分，这应该足以覆盖这条高HC线。