In my opinion Nantes have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Nantes won 2 of last 3 matches in Ligue1 against Auxerre and didn't lost any of last 6 league matches at home against them.

Nantes plays season below expectations, they are just above relegation zone, but I believe this is great opportunity to make first win in 2023 at home. In 2022 Nantes lost only two matches front of home crowd (against Lille and PSG)! Nantes have very experienced team - their players played already 2,655 matches in Ligue1 in total (the highest number in whole league). In first match after the break they recorded 0:0 on away against Troyes, but they deserved for something more: expected goals scored for Nantes 1.58, for Troyes 0.22. If they continue to play on this level, I trust them.

Auxerre started poor after the break, they recorded painful loss at home against Monaco (2:3). Defensive formation doesn't looked consistent - Auxerre conceded 3 goals from 6 shots. They conceded 22 goals in 8 away matches so far and I see problems for them also today. Auxerre lost 5 of last 6 matches on the road.

Nantes didn't lost in 11 of last 12 matches against league newcomers. They should be able to continue this hot streak today.

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在我看来，南特很有机会在今天的比赛中得到3分。

南特在过去3场对阵欧塞尔的法甲比赛中赢了2场，在过去6场联赛主场对阵欧塞尔的比赛中没有输过一场。

南特本赛季的表现低于预期，他们只是在降级区之上，但我相信这是在2023年主场取得首胜的绝佳机会。2022年南特在主场观众面前只输了两场比赛(对阵里尔和巴黎圣日耳曼)!南特是一支经验丰富的球队，他们的球员总共在法甲踢了2655场比赛(在整个联赛中是最多的)。在中场休息后的第一场比赛中，他们在客场对阵特鲁瓦的比赛中取得了0:0的成绩，但他们应该得到更多的东西:南特的预期进球数为1.58，特鲁瓦的预期进球数为0.22。如果他们能继续打出这样的水平，我相信他们。

欧塞尔在中场休息后开局不佳，他们在主场2:3负于摩纳哥。防守阵型看起来不稳定——欧塞尔6次射门丢3球。到目前为止，他们在8场客场比赛中丢了22球，今天我也看到了他们的问题。欧塞尔在过去的6场比赛中输掉了5场。

南特在过去12场对阵联赛新人的比赛中有11场没有输球。他们今天应该能继续保持这种势头。