Only 2 games will be played on the first day of 2023 in the English Premier League. The first game is going to happen between Tottenham and Aston Villa. After 16 rounds, Tottenham has 9 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, a total of 30 points and 4th position in the standings. Aston Villa has 5 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses, a total of 18 points and 12th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Tottenham is going to win.

The first game after the break wasn't the best for Tottenham. The team trailed 0:2 against Brentford but came back and secured a point. Overall, Tottenham has been a good home team with 6 wins in 8 games. Tottenham has scored 21 goals in front of their fans and which is tied for 3rd best result and has conceded 11 times. At home, Tottenham has the 5th-best xG rating (2.04) and the 9th-best xGA rating (1.43).

Aston Villa had 2 wins before the break but they lost to Liverpool on Monday. On the road Aston Villa has played badly as they have only 1 win, 2 draws in 8 games and a total of 5 points. Villa has scored only 5 times away from home which is tied for the 3rd-worst result and has conceded 16 times which is tied for the 6th-worst result. Aston Villa has the 6th-worst xG on the road (1.14) and 11th-worst xGA (1.67).

There are some historical stats that are in favor of Tottenham. The team has won 7 out of the last 8 games which have been played on New Year's day and they have beaten Aston Villa in 8 out of the last 9 meetings. Opponents don't like to play in London as they have conceded 13 games in a row and they have lost the last 5 games played in England's capital.

Harry Kane after the last game wasn't pleased with Tottenham's performance. Other teams are coming from the back and only 4 best teams will secure a place in the Champions League next season. Tottenham can't afford to lose points, especially against a team like Aston Villa. Tottenham has lost this season at home only to Liverpool and Newcastle which are TOP6 teams so I don't expect a surprise in this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

2023年的第一天，英超只有两场比赛。第一场比赛将在热刺和阿斯顿维拉之间进行。16轮过后，热刺取得9胜3平4负，积30分，排名第4。阿斯顿维拉5胜3平8负，积18分排名第12。在这场比赛中，我预测托特纳姆会赢。

中场休息后的第一场比赛对热刺来说并不是最好的。球队0:2落后于布伦特福德队，但最终扳回一分。总的来说，热刺在8场比赛中取得了6场胜利，是一支不错的主场球队。热刺已经在球迷面前打进了21球，并列第三，丢了11次球。在主场，热刺的xG评分(2.04)排名第五，xGA评分(1.43)排名第九。

阿斯顿维拉在中场休息前取得了两场胜利，但他们在周一输给了利物浦。阿斯顿维拉在客场表现糟糕，8场比赛只取得1胜2平，积5分。比利亚在客场只取得了5次进球，这是并列第3的糟糕成绩，而在客场丢球16次，这是并列第6的糟糕成绩。阿斯顿维拉拥有第六差的xG(1.14)和第11差的xGA(1.67)。

有一些历史数据对热刺有利。在过去的8场新年比赛中，球队赢了7场，在过去的9次交锋中，他们赢了8场。对手不喜欢在伦敦比赛，因为他们已经连续丢了13场比赛，而且他们在英国首都的最近5场比赛都输了。

哈里·凯恩在上一场比赛后对热刺的表现不满意。其他球队都是后来居上，只有4支最好的球队能确保下赛季的欧冠席位。热刺不能丢分，尤其是面对阿斯顿维拉这样的球队。热刺本赛季在主场只输给了排名前六的利物浦和纽卡斯尔，所以我不期望在这场比赛中出现意外。