Real Sociedad VS Osasuna

Real Sociedad host Osasuna in this LaLiga round 15 clash at Reale Arena in San Sebastian late Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world after The English Premier League. Football fans have every reason to expect a pretty high-level match here – a lot of goals being scored would be a surprise though. Real Sociedad have netted the ball 19 times so far – however they have been unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). Indeed, their xG is 26.02! Osasuna, on the other hand, have scored only 16 goals so far but they too have been unlucky in terms of xG which is 17.12. Even Espanyol, who occupy the 17th place have scored the same number of goals! I have not been too convinced by their often a bit slow and predictable offense. They should pass the ball more quickly and accurately near the opponents goal. So far especially the good teams with a solid defense have had too much time to organize the defense. Furthermore, Real Sociedad have solid defense – better than the number of goals conceded would reflect. Indeed, their opponents have scored 17 goals in LaLiga but the number of expected goals (xGA) is just 13.06. Osasuna have a good defense, but their xGA 16.35 is still more than the actual number – 14. Indeed, the hosts do have an edge in all areas of the game. The biggest, usually pretty smart bookmakers that accept the largest bets offer odds around 1.95 Soeciedad to win. This is undoubtedly too much - they have a 58% chance to send Osasuna home from the Basque country empty-handed and bring my fans and me yet another winner betting on this league!

The hosts do have several injuries but these have clearly been given too much emphasis to on the betting market! They have a long list of high-level players in the squad! The hosts are having a terrific season and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings and have taken 26 points but would have deserved 28.01 in terms of expected points (xPTS). However, without injuries I would rate them as the third-best team in this league, above Atletico Madrid! Last season they finished in 6th place with 62 points. Osasuna, on the other hand, have 23 points to their account (8 place)but their xPTS is just 19.4 and I have them in the 11th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Osasuna finished in 10th place last season with 37 points and a bad score difference of 37:51. The teams last met in February and the hosts took a fully deserved 1-0 win. Osasuna only recorded one shot on goal in this clash. They also beat the visitors in a friendly in July 1-0. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts' players have a total market value of 385.50 million euros. In my opinion this is still too low! I would set the number at around 410-415 million. At least three players are under-valued. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a pretty good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one! The bookmakers and professional bettors pay increasingly more attention to teams' total market values nowadays. However, if two players are equally good, one of them is 25 years old and the other one is 35, the younger one is much more valuable. For example, the fresh World Champion Messi does not have even close to the biggest current market value Osasuna's squad is valued at only 127 million.

Furthermore, Real Sociedad have also been very strong at Europa League winning Group E where for example Manchester United played. Real Sociedad grabbed 15 points in six games scoring 10 goals and conceded just two goals! Their defense was extremely solid and well-organized in all six matches! Moreover, they even beat Man United at Old Trafford 1-0 after a brilliant performance frustrating ManU's offensive players and home fans! They lost the last group phase to Man United 0-1 though, but would have deserved at least one point-They recorded much more scoring attempts (14-4) and shots on goal (4-1). We should remember though that they were missing several players in this match as well and the loss by one goal's difference was enough to secure first place in the group! They were not quite at their best against Valencia on the 6th of November though. Valencia are a dangerous team, and it was a 1-1 draw. Valencia, however, played above their average level in this clash Even so, the hosts recorded much more in expected goals – 1.47-0.83 despite playing with ten men for the most of the game after Elustando was sent off in the 17th minute. They showed awesome fighting spirit indeed! Right before the World Cup break they did, however, dominate Sevilla away from home as underdogs according to the bookies. They recorded 68% and many more scoring chances, shots on target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Sevilla did receive two red cards though! In their most recent match, they swept past CD Coria in a Spanish Cup game winning 5-0 away from home! However, I want to mention that hosts are a small team.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

皇家社会VS奥萨苏纳

北京时间周六晚些时候，西甲联赛第15轮皇家社会主场迎战奥萨苏纳。这是仅次于英超联赛的世界第二大联赛。球迷们有充分的理由期待一场高水平的比赛——很多进球会让人感到惊讶。到目前为止，皇家社会已经进了19个球，但他们在预期进球方面并不走运。的确，他们的xG是26.02!另一方面，奥萨苏纳到目前为止只进了16个球，但他们的xG也很不幸，为17.12。即使是排在第17位的西班牙人也取得了相同的进球数!我不太相信他们经常有点慢和可预测的进攻。他们应该在对手球门附近更快更准确地传球。到目前为止，特别是那些防守稳固的强队有太多的时间来组织防守。此外，皇家社会有坚实的防守——比失球数所反映的要好。事实上，他们的对手已经在西甲联赛中打进了17球，但预期进球数(xGA)只有13.06个。奥萨苏纳有很好的防守，但是他们的xGA 16.35还是比实际数字多——14。事实上，东道主在比赛的各个方面都有优势。最大的，通常是相当聪明的博彩公司，接受最大的赌注，提供1.95左右的Soeciedad获胜赔率。这无疑是太过分了——他们有58%的机会把奥萨苏纳从巴斯克地区空手送回家，给我和我的球迷带来另一个赌这个联赛的赢家!

东道主确实有几名球员受伤，但这些伤病显然被博彩市场过于重视了!他们有一长串高水平球员的名单!东道主本赛季表现出色，目前在积分榜上排名第四，已经获得26分，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面应该得到28.01分。然而，如果没有伤病，我会把他们评为联赛第三强的球队，超过马竞!上赛季他们以62分排名第六。另一方面，奥萨苏纳，他们有23分(第8位)，但他们的xPTS只有19.4，在我的实力评级中，他们排在第11位，这反映了球队的纯粹等级。奥萨苏纳上赛季以37分的成绩排在第10位，比分差为37:51。两队上一次交锋是在今年2月，东道主以1-0完胜。奥萨苏纳在这场比赛中只射进了一球。他们还在7月的友谊赛中以1比0击败了客队。据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com统计，东道主球员的总市值为3.855亿欧元。在我看来这还是太低了!我认为这个数字在4.1亿到4.15亿之间。至少有三名球员被低估了。当然，总市值有时会被误导，但仍然是一个很好的指标，一个球队在球场上的实际行动。毕竟，足球(球员)市场是全球性的!如今，博彩公司和专业投注者越来越关注球队的总市场价值。然而，如果两个球员同样优秀，其中一个25岁，另一个35岁，那么年轻的球员就更有价值。例如，新晋世界冠军梅西甚至没有接近目前最大的市场价值，奥萨苏纳的阵容价值只有1.27亿。

此外，皇家社会在欧联杯冠军E组也表现强劲，而曼联就是其中之一。皇家社会在6场比赛中得到15分，进了10球，只丢了2球!在所有六场比赛中，他们的防守都非常坚固，组织得很好!此外，他们甚至在老特拉福德以1-0击败了曼联，此前他们的出色表现让马努的进攻球员和主场球迷感到沮丧!虽然他们在小组赛中0-1输给了曼联，但他们至少应该得到1分，他们的得分次数(14-4)和射门次数(4-1)要多得多。但我们应该记住，他们在这场比赛中也失去了几名球员，一球的差距足以确保小组第一!然而，在11月6日对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中，他们并没有达到最佳状态。瓦伦西亚是一支危险的球队，他们1-1战平。然而，瓦伦西亚在这场比赛中的表现高于他们的平均水平，尽管埃卢斯坦多在第17分钟被罚下，但东道主的预期进球数要高得多——1.47-0.83，尽管比赛大部分时间都是10人应战。他们确实表现出了令人敬畏的斗志!然而就在世界杯前，他们在客场击败了塞维利亚。他们记录了68%和更多的得分机会，射正，攻击和危险的攻击。塞维利亚确实吃了两张红牌!在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在西班牙杯的比赛中以5-0的比分横扫了CD Coria !但是，我想说的是，东道主是一支小球队。