Stade Lavallois (Laval) MFC VS Amiens

Laval host Amiens for this French Ligue 2 clash at Stade Francis Le Basser  early Saturday morning Beijing time. The odds on Amiens have been coming down today and I fully agree with this movement! The biggest, usually pretty accurate bookmakers offer odds around 2.35 on the visitors to win. In my view they have a 49% chance to travel home with all three points in the pocket.They are a much better team by pure class. The gap is definitely bigger than the standings would suggest.. Amiens currently occupy the 6th place in the standings but would have deserved a little more than the actual 24 points in terms of expected points (xPTS). Furhermore, they have potential for improvement and I have them in the 5th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Last season Amiens finished in 7th place with 50 points and a fine score difference of 51:42. Many of their players have played below their normal level so far this season– especially right before the quite long World Cup break when they had a bad streak in Ligue 2. However, the betting market seems to have overreacted to the bad results.. They would have deserved many more points during this streak..

A good example of the bad luck the visitors have had is the match on the 12th of November when they lost to Quevilly Rouen 0-2 at home but would have earned a win. Indeed, they had 55% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts (17-12), shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! They also created more in expected goals. Before this they were even more unlucky away from home against Pau FC losing 1-2. They were the underdogs according to the bookies but were, in reality, the better team on the pitch and had 63% ball possession and recorded almost 30(!) scoring attempts and four times more shots on goal than the hosts! They also had many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks - 117-45! Four days ago they played a balanced match away from home against Valenciennes and earned a point through a morale-boosting 1-1 draw. Furthermore, before this they crushed Aiglon Lamentin 10-0 at home in a Coupe De France (French Cup) match! The visitors are a small team though but scoring 10 goals is a good example of the offensive potential they possess! Laval failed to win any of the three friendly games during the World Cup break and got totally humiliated four days ago losing to Dijon 0-5 away from home in a Ligue 2 match.. It was a lazy and defensively absolutely horrible performance by them! They also recorded just one shot on goal.. In terms of players total market value (Tranfermarkt.com) Amiens also have  a clear edge as their squad's total value is 22.65 million euros. I also want to mention that Laval's number of points (20) is 2.87 more than their xPTS. Their defense is shaky to say the least.. The number of goals allowed - 26 - is the second-highest number in this league. The hosts were promoted from National for this season and will surely drop down in the standings as the season progresses..

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拉瓦卢瓦球场(拉瓦尔)MFC VS亚眠

拉瓦尔主场迎战亚眠，这场法甲联赛将在弗朗西斯·勒贝塞尔球场进行。北京时间周六凌晨。亚眠的赔率今天已经下降了，我完全同意这个运动!最大的、通常相当准确的博彩公司对客队获胜的赔率约为2.35。在我看来，他们有49%的机会带着这三分回家。纯粹从级别上来说，他们是一支更好的球队。差距肯定比排名所显示的要大。亚眠目前排名第6，但就预期积分(xPTS)而言，它应该得到比实际的24分多一点的积分。此外，他们还有改进的潜力，在我的实力评价中他们排在第5位，这反映了车队的纯粹水平。上赛季亚眠以50分的成绩排在第7位，分数相差51:42。本赛季到目前为止，他们的许多球员的表现都低于正常水平——尤其是在世界杯长假之前，他们在法甲联赛中表现不佳。然而，博彩市场似乎对糟糕的结果反应过度。他们本应该得到更多的分数。

客队运气不好的一个很好的例子是11月12日的比赛，他们在主场0-2输给了奎维尔·鲁昂，但他们本可以赢得一场胜利。事实上，他们拥有55%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(17-12)，射门次数，总传球次数，完成传球，进攻和危险进攻!他们也创造了更多的预期目标。在此之前，他们在客场1-2负于保罗更是不幸。根据博彩公司的说法，他们是不被看好的球队，但实际上，他们在球场上表现更好，有63%的控球率，记录了近30次射门，射门次数是东道主的4倍!他们也有更多的总传球，完成传球，进攻和危险的进攻- 117-45!四天前，他们在客场与瓦伦西亚进行了一场势均力敌的比赛，并通过1-1的平局获得了一分。此外，在此之前，他们在法国杯的比赛中主场10-0击败了Aiglon Lamentin !客队虽然是一支小球队，但打进10球是他们拥有进攻潜力的一个很好的例子!拉瓦尔在世界杯期间未能赢得三场友谊赛中的任何一场，四天前在法甲的一场比赛中以0-5输给了第戎。这是一场懒惰和防守绝对可怕的表现!他们也只记录了一次射门得分。在球员的总市场价值方面，亚眠也有 他们的总身价为2265万欧元，这是一个明显的优势。我还想提一下，拉瓦尔的20分比他们的xPTS多2.87分。至少可以说，他们的防守是站不住脚的。失球数为26个，是联赛第二高的失球数。主队本赛季从国家队升级，随着赛季的进行，他们的排名肯定会下降。