In my opinion Famalicao have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
I believe Famalicao have huge motivation to avoid loss in this game. They are in relegation zone and team will give absolutely everything to make some points today. Guests coming for this game with very strong line up and in very good mood. They didn't lost in last two December cup matches and even not conceded a single goal. Confidence should be on high level. Famalicao form looks OK in last couple of weeks as they didn't lost in 7 of last 10 matches in all competitions. In overall they plays better than their results shows. According to the expected goals scored/conceded model they should score 2 goals more and concede 2 goals less.
Chaves coming for this game without their best scorer Hernandez (5 goals). In addition to that, their best player in current season (according to the ratings) defender Bruno Langa is very doubtful. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today. Chaves not coming here full of confidence - they lost both cup matches in December and twice conceded more than one goal. In last 6 matches in all competitions they recorded only one win - on away against Casa Pia by goal scored from penalty kick in additional time.. Chaves had a lot of luck in current season - they conceded 16 goals in 13 matches so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 20..
Chaves failed to win in 5 of 6 home league matches so far and I see really good opportunity for Famalicao to grab some points today.
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在我看来,法马利科很有可能在今天的比赛中至少得一分。
我相信法马利科有很大的动力在这场比赛中避免输球。他们现在在降级区,球队今天会竭尽全力去取得一些积分。前来观赛的嘉宾阵容非常强大,心情也非常好。他们在去年12月的两场杯赛中没有输球,甚至没有丢过一球。自信应该是高度的。法马利科在过去几周的状态看起来还不错,因为他们在所有赛事的过去10场比赛中有7场没有输球。总的来说,他们的表现比结果显示的要好。根据预期进球数/失球数模型,他们应该多进2球,少丢2球。
查韦斯没有带着他们最好的射手埃尔南德斯(5球)来参加这场比赛。除此之外,他们本赛季最好的球员(根据收视率)后卫布鲁诺·兰加非常值得怀疑。这是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。查韦斯来到这里并不是充满信心——他们在12月输掉了两场杯赛,两次丢球超过1球。在过去的6场比赛中,他们只取得了一场胜利——客场对阵卡萨皮亚,在加时赛中点球得分。查韦斯在本赛季运气很好——到目前为止,他们在13场比赛中丢了16球,但根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢20球。
到目前为止,查韦斯在6场主场比赛中有5场没有赢球,我认为法马利考今天有很好的机会拿分。