8/7 in my last matches in Portugal 🎯
2022-12-30

Przem

外籍分析师

葡超

12/31 03:00

已完赛

维兹拉
1:0
吉马良斯
解读理由:

In my opinion Guimaraes have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

It's not real away match for guests because it's only 15 minutes drive by car from Guimaraes to Vizela. Big advantage for guests, no doubt about that.

I really don't have big trust for Vizela and I simply don't see them as a favorite in this game. In last 9 matches in all competitions Vizela recorded only one win - against Pacos (last position in league table). Hosts main goal is to avoid relegation and at the moment situation is good as they are 4 points above relegation zone. If You look on the bigger picture, Vizela is not strong team at home - they failed to win in 18 of last 23 home league matches. They not coming here full of confidence as they lost 0:4 in last match against Porto.

Vitoria is very consistent team, they finished in top7 in last 4 consecutive seasons and obviously they have big ambitions for current edition. Currently 6th place, only 3 points behind fourth Casa Pia so for sure motivation to win is huge. Vitoria is very solid - they didn't lost in 9 of 13 league matches and they didn't lost against any team ranked outside top8. What even more impressive - they didn't lost in 12 of last 13 matches in all competitions (lost only against strong Sporting on away).

On those circumstances I trust for guests. They have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,吉马良斯很有机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

对客人来说,这不是真正的客场比赛,因为从吉马良斯到维泽拉只有15分钟的车程。毫无疑问,这对客人来说是很大的优势。

我真的不太信任维泽拉,我只是不认为他们是这场比赛的宠儿。在最近的9场比赛中,维泽拉只取得了一场胜利——对阵帕科斯(排名最后)。东道主的主要目标是保级,目前情况不错,他们比降级区高出4分。如果你从大局来看,维泽拉在主场并不是一支强队——他们在过去23场主场比赛中有18场没有赢球。他们不是带着信心来的,因为他们在上一场0:4输给了波尔图。

维多利亚是一支非常稳定的球队,他们在过去连续4个赛季都进入了前7名,显然他们对当前的版本有很大的野心。目前排名第6,只落后第四的卡萨皮亚3分,所以夺冠的动力肯定是巨大的。维多利亚非常稳固,他们在13场联赛中有9场没有输过,他们没有输过排名前8之外的任何球队。更令人印象深刻的是,他们在过去的13场比赛中12场没有输球(只在客场输给了实力强大的里斯本竞技)。

在这种情况下,我相信是客人。他们避免损失的几率比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。


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