Two very good picks for La Liga!
2022-12-30

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

12/31 00:00

已完赛

西甲

12/31 04:30

已完赛

巴利亚多
1:0
皇马
解读理由:

VALLADOLID - REAL MADRID

Valladolid improved lately, but they are still lacking quality. They have been outplayed by all top teams so far (Osasuna, Betis, Athletic, Barcelona, Real Sociedad…). They made really bad performances in the friendlies played during the WC break, with defeats against serious teams (Athletic, Lille, Crystal Palace…) showing again their weak point: lack of quality.

For this match they have some players out, especially in defense such as Olaza, El Yamiq and Feddal.

On the other hand, Real Madrid is looking for the 1st position again after some bad performances and results in La Liga, winning just one game (2:1 vs Cadiz) in the last 3. They have been performing pretty well, scoring 33 goals in 14 rounds and now with Benzema recovered from the injuries, plus the international players already focused in the league.

Surely it will be a tight game, where Valladolid will park the bus and try to score a goal in some counter. But they are one of the worst offensive teams in the league with just 13 goals scored, due to their poor strikers and the lack of quality mentioned above. Madrid will have full control of the match and this one should be an easy place to achieve the needed three points.

Few goals are expected here, the difference of quality is huge. Valladolid has been outplayed by all strong teams so far this season and I believe here we won’t see anything different. Then Madrid could be more or less lucky with their chances, but they will have the control of the match and the chances to score.

GETAFE - MALLORCA

Disagree with the odds here.

Getafe can’t be favorite. They have been overperforming a lot. The team looks very limited due to the defensive mind of the coach, so players are just defending and running the whole game, with zero danger upfront and attacking with very few people, prioritizing not conceding than scoring goals.

They have won just 3 games so far, scoring 12 goals. Very poor numbers, but also their performances have been terrible, and in my opinion many of their points (with victories or draws) have been undeserved and lucky.

On the other hand, Mallorca is a very strong team and difficult to beat. The team is doing very well with Aguirre, defending like a rock and knowing perfectly when and how to attack.

As opposed to Getafe, they dont park the bus as plan for the whole match. They are defensive because they know that they lack quality, but they attack with many players and have offensive tactics to score when they have the chance. That’s why they are 11th in the table, avoiding defeats against top teams like Real Sociedad, Villarreal or Atletico de Madrid, and with 19 points (5 victories, 4 draws, 5 defeats) scoring just 13 goals.

They also have a lot of quality upfront with Kang-In Lee and Muriqi, one of the best strikers in the league (2nd topscorer with 8 goals).

For me Mallorca is favorite here, in a game where we will see two defensive teams but with Mallorca better prepared to win, because they also have a plan when they attack. Surely we will see few goals (maybe zero) and probably a draw, but the double chance for Mallorca looks like a great bet here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

巴利亚多利德-皇马

巴利亚多利德最近有所改善,但质量仍然不足。到目前为止,他们已经被所有顶级球队(奥萨苏纳,贝蒂斯,竞技,巴塞罗那,皇家社会……)击败。他们在WC间歇期的友谊赛中表现非常糟糕,输给了劲旅(竞技、里尔、水晶宫……)再次显示了他们的弱点:缺乏质量。

在这场比赛中,他们有一些球员缺阵,尤其是防守端的奥拉扎、亚米克和费达尔。

另一方面,在西甲的一些糟糕表现和结果之后,皇马在西甲的最后3场比赛中只赢了一场比赛(2:1 vs加的斯),再次寻求第1的位置。他们的表现相当不错,在14轮比赛中打进33球,现在本泽马已经从伤病中恢复,再加上国脚们已经专注于联赛。

毫无疑问,这将是一场激烈的比赛,巴利亚多利德将稳住阵脚,试图在反击中打入一球。但他们是联赛中进攻最差的球队之一,只有13个进球,因为他们的前锋很差,而且缺乏上面提到的质量。马德里将完全控制比赛,这场比赛应该很容易取得所需的三分。

这里的进球很少,质量差异很大。本赛季到目前为止,巴利亚多利德已经被所有强队击败了,我相信在这里我们不会看到任何不同。然后,马德里可能会或多或少地幸运他们的机会,但他们将控制比赛和进球的机会。

赫塔菲-马略卡

不同意这种可能性。

赫塔菲不可能是最受欢迎的。他们一直表现超常。由于教练的防守意识,这支球队看起来非常有限,所以球员们在整场比赛中只是防守和跑动,前场零危险,进攻人数很少,优先考虑的是不失球而不是进球。

到目前为止,他们只赢了3场比赛,进了12个球。非常糟糕的数据,但他们的表现也很糟糕,在我看来,他们的许多积分(胜利或平局)都是不应得的和幸运的。

另一方面,马洛卡是一支非常强大的球队,很难被击败。球队在阿吉雷的带领下做得很好,防守像石头一样,知道何时以及如何进攻。

与赫塔菲相反,他们在整场比赛中都没有按计划停车。他们是防御性的,因为他们知道自己缺乏质量,但他们有很多球员进攻,当他们有机会时,他们有进攻战术得分。这就是为什么他们在积分榜上排名第11位,没有输给皇家社会、比利亚雷亚尔或马德里竞技这样的顶级球队,他们积19分(5胜4平5负)只进了13球。

他们也有很多高质量的前场球员,包括李康仁和穆里奇,穆里奇是联赛中最好的前锋之一(以8球排名射手榜第二)。

对我来说,马洛卡是最受欢迎的,在这场比赛中,我们将看到两支防守球队,但马洛卡为赢得比赛做好了更好的准备,因为他们在进攻时也有计划。当然,我们会看到很少的进球(也许是零),也可能是平局,但马洛卡的双重机会看起来是一个很好的赌注。


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