In my opinion Pacos have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +2.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play, line is simply too high.

H2H fully agree with my prediction. In last 17 matches between both teams only once Sporting were able to win with more than 2 goals difference.

In current season in 13 league matches only two times Sporting were able to win with more than two goals difference. Today they are without key central midfielders Ugarte and Morita. In addition to that important central defenders Juste and Neto are very doubtful.

Pacos coming for this game with very strong line up. Currently they are on the last position in league table, but without any shadow of doubt they plays better than their results shows. Pacos scored 7 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 11.6. They conceded 26 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 20.6.

I really don't trust Sporting with such high line.

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在我看来，费雷拉在今天的比赛中有很大的机会避免输两球以上。客场+2.5 AH看起来是一个很好的选择。

H2H完全同意我的预测。在过去的17场比赛中，两队之间只有一场比赛是在净胜球超过2球的情况下获胜的。

在本赛季的13场联赛中，里斯本只有2次能够在净胜球超过2球的情况下获胜。今天他们缺少了核心中场乌加特和森田。除此之外，重要的中卫贾斯特和内托也很可疑。

费雷拉带着强大的阵容来参加这场比赛。目前，他们在积分榜上排名最后，但毫无疑问，他们的表现比他们的成绩要好。费雷拉进了7球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该得到11.6球。他们丢了26个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢20.6个球。

我真的不相信里斯本能让这么大。